+8.5 spread: that team can lose by up to 8 and the bet still winsO 47.5 total: wins if the two teams score 48 or more combined−110 bet $110 to win $100+150 bet $100 to win $150The badge is the book with that price (tap a price to see every book's); green pays more than the bet's chances call forBet types explained →
Outlined is the best price on each side; green pays more than the chances call for. A small negative edge is normal. Tap a price to bet it. What the numbers mean
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On Polymarket and Kalshi a contract pays $1 if it comes true, so its price is the crowd's chance. Charts follow the home team.
Big single bets on Polymarket and Kalshi, and how much money is on this game. What bettors did, not a reason to follow them.
"To win" chances average the sportsbooks (with their cut taken out), Polymarket and Kalshi. How it works
| +300 |
| -400 |
| -105 |
| -117 |
| -112 |
| -109 |
| PRXbetPARX | +300 | -400 | -105 | -117 | -112 | -109 |
| BetRivers | +300 | -400 | -105 | -117 | -112 | -109 |
| DraftKings | +270 | -340 | -110 | -110 | -110 | -110 |
| FanDuel | +270 | -335 | -106 | -114 | -110 | -110 |
| FLFliff | +265 | -345 | +100 | -125 | -115 | -105 |
| Hard Rock | +260 | -350 | +100 | -120 | -115 | -105 |
| Polymarket | +257 | -299 | -119 | -101 | -123 | +107 |
| RBReBet | +275 | -340 | -109 | -115 | -115 | -109 |
| BetMGM | +280 | -350 | -102 | -118 | – | – |
| Kalshi | +252 | -306 | -121 | +101 | – | – |
| MyBookie | +265 | -350 | – | – | -110 | -110 |
| tStheScore Bet | +280 | -360 | -105 | -115 | – | – |
| BetOnline | +285 | -355 | – | – | – | – |
| BetUS | +285 | -355 | – | – | – | – |
| Bovada | +280 | -360 | – | – | – | – |
| Caesars | +278 | -355 | – | – | – | – |
| Fanatics | +275 | -350 | – | – | – | – |
| LVGLowVig | +289 | -351 | – | – | – | – |
| NVNovig | +285 | -300 | – | – | – | – |
| PINPinnacle | +286 | -349 | – | – | – | – |
| PXProphetX | +295 | -300 | – | – | – | – |
Vig at the best pricesspread -0.2% · total 0.7% · to win -0.1%Cheapest books →
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Bets in this game that have kept winning, more often than their price needs. A trend ignores the opponent, and some are luck.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEN to win moneylineDenver Nuggets | 56 of 88· last season64%needs 25% to break even | Record is last season's | 11.9Strong | ||
| Under 241.5 game total, OKC gamesOklahoma City Thunder | -176at FanDuel |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 57.5 4th quarter totalOklahoma City Thunder |
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 threesChet Holmgren · OKC |
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEN +5.5 2nd half spreadDenver Nuggets |
| 10.3Strong |
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 47% to break even |
| 8.8Strong |
| DEN -0.5 1st quarter spreadDenver Nuggets | +159at Kalshi | 54 of 88· last season61%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | 7.4Good |
| Under 115.5 2nd half totalOklahoma City Thunder | +189at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 35% to break even | 6.2Good |
| DEN +1.5 1st half spreadDenver Nuggets | +152at Kalshi | 59 of 88· last season67%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | 0.7Slight |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 33% to break even |
| 11.4Strong |
| Over 3.5 assistsDeMar DeRozan · DEN | +198at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 34% to break even | 5.8Good |
| Over 7.5 assistsShai Gilgeous-Alexander · OKC | +190at FanDuel | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 34% to break even | 1.7Slight |
| Under 1.5 threesChristian Braun · DEN | -154at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 61% to break even | 1.5Slight |
| Under 35.5 pointsShai Gilgeous-Alexander · OKC | -245at Bovada | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 71% to break even | 0.3Slight |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 65% to break even |
| -0.1Not beating its price |
| Under 116.5 1st half totalOklahoma City Thunder | -137at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 58% to break even | -0.7Not beating its price |
| Over 57.5 1st half team totalDenver Nuggets | +124at Kalshi | 56 of 88· last season64%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.8Not beating its price |
| Under 117.5 team totalOklahoma City Thunder | +181at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 36% to break even | -0.8Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 assistsCason Wallace · OKC | +370at FanDuel | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 21% to break even | -1.2Not beating its price |
| Yes triple-doubleShai Gilgeous-Alexander · OKC | +7500at FanDuel | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 1% to break even | -1.2Not beating its price |
| Yes triple-doubleJamal Murray · DEN | +6000at FanDuel | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 2% to break even | -1.5Not beating its price |
| Over 11.5 pointsJared McCain · OKC | +145at Bovada | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 41% to break even | -1.7Not beating its price |
| Yes double-doubleAjay Mitchell · OKC | +3000at FanDuel | 1 of 10· last 10 games10%needs 3% to break even | -1.8Not beating its price |
| Under 57.5 1st quarter totalOklahoma City Thunder | +101at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 50% to break even | -1.8Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 threesNikola Jokic · DEN | -105at Bovada | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 51% to break even | -2.0Not beating its price |
| Under 24.5 pts + rebJalen Williams · OKC | -125at Bovada | 28 of 38· last season74%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.1Not beating its price |
| Yes double-doubleCameron Johnson · DEN | +4000at FanDuel | 1 of 60· last season2%needs 2% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.2Not beating its price |
| Yes double-doubleChristian Braun · DEN | +3200at DraftKings | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 3% to break even | -2.8Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 assistsAaron Gordon · DEN | +125at BetMGM | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 44% to break even | -2.8Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 threesAaron Gordon · DEN | -107at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 52% to break even | -3.0Not beating its price |
| Over 11.5 pointsAlex Caruso · OKC | +290at Fanatics | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 26% to break even | -3.7Not beating its price |
| Over 39.5 pts + reb + astJamal Murray · DEN | +290at BetMGM | 31 of 83· last season37%needs 26% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.8Not beating its price |
| DEN +1.5 3rd quarter spreadDenver Nuggets | -103at Kalshi | 54 of 88· last season61%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.1Not beating its price |
| OKC -2.5 2nd quarter spreadOklahoma City Thunder | -103at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 51% to break even | -4.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| $11,943 | at 74¢ (-285) | Kalshi | Not shown | ||
| $19,446 | at 74¢ (-285) | Polymarket | See who, with Pro | ||
| $12,115 | at 26¢ (+285) | Polymarket | See who, with Pro |
Polymarket and Kalshi sell the spread and total at every number, not just the one most books use. Each row shows the chance that bet wins, from their prices, and the best price on each side at any book, sportsbooks' alternate lines and fees included.
| Bet | Chance | Best price | Other side, best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| OKC -4.5 | 63% chance | -179 | DEN +4.5+180 |
| OKC -5.5 | 60% chance | -158 | DEN +5.5+155 |
| OKC -6.5 | 56% chance | -137 | DEN +6.5+135 |
| OKC -7.5 | 53% chance | -119 | DEN +7.5+115 |
| OKC -8.5Most books' number | 48% chance | +101$18,600 available at this price | DEN +8.5FL+100 |
| OKC -9.5 | 44% chance | +119 | DEN +9.5-115 |
| OKC -10.5 | 41% chance | +137 | DEN +10.5-130 |
| OKC -11.5 | 39% chance | +146 | DEN +11.5-150 |
| OKC -12.5 | 36% chance | +169 | DEN +12.5-180 |
Who's hurt, the weather, rest and recent form. Injuries can change up to game time.
| Julian Strawther | G | Out | Left Knee · back ~Nov 29 |
| Spencer Jones | F | Day-To-Day | Hamstring · back ~Oct 22 |
| Nikola Topic | G | Out | Back · back ~Oct 26 |
| Thomas Sorber | C | Out | Right Knee · back ~Oct 26 |
| Otega Oweh | G | Out | Right Achilles · back ~Jul 1 |
| 56% chance |
| -122 |
| Under 234.5+116 |
| Over 235.5Most books' number | 54% chance | -110 | Under 235.5+107$840 available at this price |
| Over 236.5 | 50% chance | -104 | Under 236.5-109 |
| Over 237.5 | 48% chance | +104 | Under 237.5-119 |
| Over 238.5 | 46% chance | +114 | Under 238.5-129 |
| Over 240.5 | 41% chance | +137 | Under 240.5-158 |
| Over 242.5 | 38% chance | +155 | Under 242.5-183 |
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