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NBAPlayer propThrees
Chet Holmgren under 0.5 threes
Won5 of 5last 5 games · 100%
Best price+200Bovada
Price needs33.3%wins to break even
Every game32 of 88this season and last
Trend score11.4Strong
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 33% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 33% to break even | 65%–100% | 67 points betterwon 100%, needs 33% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 33% to break even | 54%–93% | 47 points betterwon 80%, needs 33% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 33% to break even | 39%–78% | 27 points betterwon 60%, needs 33% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 33% to break even | 27%–100% | 67 points betterwon 100%, needs 33% |
| Last season | 31 of 8736%needs 33% to break even | 28%–44% | 2 points betterwon 36%, needs 33% |
| Every game | 32 of 8836%needs 33% to break even | 28%–45% | 3 points betterwon 36%, needs 33% |
Games like tonight
Tonight OKC plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against DEN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Chet Holmgren under 0.5 threes3 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Threes in each game against under 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Threes | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 |  SA | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| May 30 | SA | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 28 | SA | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 26 | SA | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 24 | SA | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 22 | SA | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 20 | SA | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 18 | SA | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 11 |  LAL | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 9 | LAL | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 7 | LAL | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| May 5 | LAL | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 27 |  PHX | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 25 | PHX | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 22 | PHX | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 19 | PHX | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 8 |  LAC | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 7 | LAL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 5 |  UTAH | 4 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Apr 2 | LAL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 30 |  DET | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 29 |  NY | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 25 |  BOS | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 23 |  PHI | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 21 |  WSH | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 18 |  BKN | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 17 |  ORL | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 15 |  MIN | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 12 | BOS | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 4 | NY | 6 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 |  CHI | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 |  DAL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 27 |  DEN | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 24 |  TOR | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 22 |  CLE | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 20 | BKN | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 15 | STRIPES | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 15 | STRIPES | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 15 | WORLD | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 12 |  MIL | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 11 | PHX | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 9 | LAL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 7 |  HOU | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 3 | ORL | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 1 | DEN | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 29 | MIN | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 27 |  NO | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 25 | TOR | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 23 |  IND | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 21 | MIL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 19 | CLE | 4 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 |  MIA | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 15 | HOU | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 13 | SA | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 11 | MIA | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 7 | UTAH | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 5 |  CHA | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 | PHX | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 2 |  GS | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 31 |  POR | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 29 |  ATL | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 28 | PHI | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 25 | SA | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 | SA | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 19 | MIN | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 18 | LAC | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 13 | SA | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 10 | PHX | 4 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | UTAH | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 5 | DAL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 2 | GS | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | POR | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | PHX | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 26 | MIN | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | POR | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 21 | UTAH | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 19 |  SAC | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 17 | NO | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | CHA | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 12 | LAL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 11 | GS | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 |  MEM | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | SAC | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 4 | LAC | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 27 | DAL | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | ATL | 6 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Oct 23 | IND | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 21 | HOU | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 threesChet Holmgren · Today 9:40 PM ET |  -205at BetRivers | 56 of 87· last season64%needs 67% to break even | Record is last season's | -43.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 1.5 threesChet Holmgren · Today 9:40 PM ET | +220at BetRivers | 28 of 87· last season32%needs 31% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Chet Holmgren in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.