This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 71% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 71% to break even | 65%–100% | 29 points betterwon 100%, needs 71% |
| Last 10 games | 10 of 10100%needs 71% to break even | 79%–100% | 29 points betterwon 100%, needs 71% |
| Last 15 games | 13 of 1587%needs 71% to break even | 67%–95% | 16 points betterwon 87%, needs 71% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 71% to break even | 27%–100% | 29 points betterwon 100%, needs 71% |
| Last season | 67 of 8381%needs 71% to break even | 73%–87% |
Tonight OKC plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against DEN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against under 35.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 26.5 pointsShai Gilgeous-Alexander |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 assistsShai Gilgeous-Alexander |
| Every game | 68 of 8481%needs 71% to break even | 73%–87% | 10 points betterwon 81%, needs 71% |
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 35.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 32 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 30 | 35 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 28 | 15 | +20.5 | Won | |
| May 26 | 32 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 24 | 19 | +16.5 | Won | |
| May 22 | 26 | +9.5 | Won | |
| May 20 | 30 | +5.5 | Won | |
| May 18 | 24 | +11.5 | Won | |
| May 11 | 35 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 23 | +12.5 | Won | |
| May 7 | 22 | +13.5 | Won | |
| May 5 | 18 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Apr 27 | 31 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 42 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 37 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 25 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | 20 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 25 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 20 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 28 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 47 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 30 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 25 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 33 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 22 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 40 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 20 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 40 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 20 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 35 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 9 | 35 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 27 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | 26 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 30 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | 36 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 20 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 34 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 30 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 29 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 24 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 47 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 40 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 30 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 39 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 20 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 34 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 29 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 46 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 21 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 25 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 30 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 30 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 39 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 27 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 22 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 33 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 31 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 19 | 35 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 32 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 29 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 10 | 28 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 33 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 38 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 26 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 37 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 40 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 37 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 31 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 33 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 23 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 33 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 30 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 28 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 35 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 30 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 35 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 30 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 30 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 31 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 31 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 23 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 30 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 23 | 55 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 35 | +0.5 | Won | |
| -275at Fanatics |
| 58 of 83· last season70%needs 73% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -34.4Not beating its price |
| Over 27.5 pointsShai Gilgeous-Alexander · Today 9:40 PM ET | -225at Fanatics | 56 of 83· last season67%needs 69% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.1Not beating its price |
| Over 28.5 pointsShai Gilgeous-Alexander · Today 9:40 PM ET | -175at Fanatics | 53 of 83· last season64%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.6Not beating its price |
| Over 29.5 pointsShai Gilgeous-Alexander · Today 9:40 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 50 of 83· last season60%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.9Not beating its price |
| Over 30.5 pointsShai Gilgeous-Alexander · Today 9:40 PM ET | -112at BetRivers | 38 of 83· last season46%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.0Not beating its price |
| Over 31.5 pointsShai Gilgeous-Alexander · Today 9:40 PM ET | +105at Fanatics | 33 of 83· last season40%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.9Not beating its price |
| Over 32.5 pointsShai Gilgeous-Alexander · Today 9:40 PM ET | +125at Fanatics | 31 of 83· last season37%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.3Not beating its price |
| Over 33.5 pointsShai Gilgeous-Alexander · Today 9:40 PM ET | +140at Fanatics | 26 of 83· last season31%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.9Not beating its price |
| Over 34.5 pointsShai Gilgeous-Alexander · Today 9:40 PM ET | +229at Kalshi | 24 of 83· last season29%needs 30% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.8Not beating its price |
| Over 35.5 pointsShai Gilgeous-Alexander · Today 9:40 PM ET | +200at Fanatics | 16 of 83· last season19%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.3Not beating its price |
| Over 36.5 pointsShai Gilgeous-Alexander · Today 9:40 PM ET | +240at BetOnline | 15 of 83· last season18%needs 29% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +190at FanDuel |
| 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 34% to break even |
| 1.7Slight |
| Yes triple-doubleShai Gilgeous-Alexander · Today 9:40 PM ET | +7500at FanDuel | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 1% to break even | -1.2Not beating its price |
| Over 6.5 assistsShai Gilgeous-Alexander · Today 9:40 PM ET | -102at FanDuel | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 50% to break even | -3.9Not beating its price |
| Under 43.5 pts + reb + astShai Gilgeous-Alexander · Today 9:40 PM ET | -135at Bovada | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 57% to break even | -7.2Not beating its price |
| Under 4.5 reboundsShai Gilgeous-Alexander · Today 9:40 PM ET | -200at Bovada | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 67% to break even | -7.7Not beating its price |
| Under 34.5 pts + rebShai Gilgeous-Alexander · Today 9:40 PM ET | +100at Bovada | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 50% to break even | -8.0Not beating its price |
| Under 35.5 pts + rebShai Gilgeous-Alexander · Today 9:40 PM ET | -118at DraftKings | 49 of 83· last season59%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.5Not beating its price |
| Over 9.5 reb + astShai Gilgeous-Alexander · Today 9:40 PM ET | -180at Bovada | 57 of 83· last season69%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.7Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 blocks + stealsShai Gilgeous-Alexander · Today 9:40 PM ET | +135at DraftKings | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 43% to break even | -11.7Not beating its price |
| Yes double-doubleShai Gilgeous-Alexander · Today 9:40 PM ET | +470at FanDuel | 10 of 83· last season12%needs 18% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.8Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 assistsShai Gilgeous-Alexander · Today 9:40 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 65% to break even | -12.1Not beating its price |
| Over 10.5 reb + astShai Gilgeous-Alexander · Today 9:40 PM ET | -112at FanDuel | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even | -12.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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