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NBAPlayer propPoints
Alex Caruso over 11.5 points
Won7 of 15last 15 games · 47%
Best price+290Fanatics
Price needs25.6%wins to break even
Every game14 of 72this season and last
Trend score-3.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 26% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 26% to break even | 14%–73% | 14 points betterwon 40%, needs 26% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 26% to break even | 27%–73% | 24 points betterwon 50%, needs 26% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 26% to break even | 28%–67% | 21 points betterwon 47%, needs 26% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 26% to break even | 0%–73% | 26 points shortwon 0%, needs 26% |
| Last season | 14 of 7120%needs 26% to break even | 13%–29% | 6 points shortwon 20%, needs 26% |
| Every game | 14 of 7219%needs 26% to break even | 13%–28% | 6 points shortwon 19%, needs 26% |
Games like tonight
Tonight OKC plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against DEN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Alex Caruso over 11.5 points3 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Points in each game against over 11.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 11.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 |  SA | 9 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| May 30 | SA | 12 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 28 | SA | 7 | -4.5 | Lost |
| May 26 | SA | 22 | +10.5 | Won |
| May 24 | SA | 0 | -11.5 | Lost |
| May 22 | SA | 15 | +3.5 | Won |
| May 20 | SA | 17 | +5.5 | Won |
| May 18 | SA | 31 | +19.5 | Won |
| May 11 |  LAL | 9 | -2.5 | Lost |
| May 9 | LAL | 6 | -5.5 | Lost |
| May 7 | LAL | 5 | -6.5 | Lost |
| May 5 | LAL | 5 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Apr 27 |  PHX | 14 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 25 | PHX | 13 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 22 | PHX | 7 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Apr 19 | PHX | 2 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Apr 8 |  LAC | 2 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Apr 7 | LAL | 6 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Apr 5 |  UTAH | 5 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Mar 30 |  DET | 3 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Mar 29 |  NY | 6 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Mar 27 |  CHI | 6 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Mar 25 |  BOS | 9 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 23 |  PHI | 4 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Mar 21 |  WSH | 4 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Mar 18 |  BKN | 0 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Mar 17 |  ORL | 2 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Mar 15 |  MIN | 17 | +5.5 | Won |
| Mar 12 | BOS | 7 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 4 | NY | 3 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 | CHI | 8 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 1 |  DAL | 4 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Feb 27 |  DEN | 12 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 24 |  TOR | 16 | +4.5 | Won |
| Feb 20 | BKN | 0 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Feb 12 |  MIL | 9 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 | PHX | 0 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Feb 9 | LAL | 17 | +5.5 | Won |
| Feb 7 |  HOU | 8 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Feb 3 | ORL | 6 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Jan 19 |  CLE | 1 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 |  MIA | 5 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Jan 15 | HOU | 5 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Jan 13 | SA | 13 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 11 | MIA | 7 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 9 |  MEM | 7 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 | PHX | 2 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Jan 2 |  GS | 4 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Dec 31 |  POR | 3 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Dec 29 |  ATL | 16 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 28 | PHI | 7 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 25 | SA | 12 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 | SA | 2 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Dec 19 | MIN | 7 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 | LAC | 4 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Dec 13 | SA | 11 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 10 | PHX | 3 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | PHX | 4 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 26 | MIN | 5 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | POR | 5 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 21 | UTAH | 11 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 19 |  SAC | 2 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 |  CHA | 0 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Nov 12 | LAL | 10 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 11 | GS | 8 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | MEM | 5 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | SAC | 3 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 4 | LAC | 8 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 |  NO | 8 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 30 | WSH | 0 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Oct 28 | SAC | 8 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 21 | HOU | 8 | -3.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 7.5 pointsAlex Caruso · Today 9:40 PM ET |  -115at BetOnline | 44 of 71· last season62%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Alex Caruso in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 threesAlex Caruso · Today 9:40 PM ET |  +152at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 40% to break even | -10.3Not beating its price | ||
| Under 1.5 assistsAlex Caruso · Today 9:40 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 46% to break even | -10.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 3.5 reboundsAlex Caruso · Today 9:40 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 25 of 71· last season35%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 1.5 stealsAlex Caruso · Today 9:40 PM ET | +150at BetOnline | 28 of 71· last season39%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 1.5 threesAlex Caruso · Today 9:40 PM ET | -172at BetOnline | 47 of 71· last season66%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 1.5 assistsAlex Caruso · Today 9:40 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 41 of 71· last season58%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.