This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 51% to break even | 44%–95% | 29 points betterwon 80%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 51% to break even | 44%–87% | 19 points betterwon 70%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 51% to break even | 46%–83% | 16 points betterwon 67%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 54 of 8861%needs 51% to break even | 53%–69% | 11 points betterwon 61%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 54 of 8861%needs 51% to break even | 53%–69% | 11 points betterwon 61%, needs 51% |
Tonight DEN plays on the road, as the underdog, against OKC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
3Q margin in each game against den 3q +1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEN to win moneylineDenver Nuggets · Today 9:40 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | 3Q margin | Beat -1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 30 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 27 | 13 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | -8 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 23 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 20 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 12 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 8 | 17 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | -7 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 19 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | -7 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | -8 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 8 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | -13 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | -8 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 11 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | 18 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Mar 9 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | -12 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | 8 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 11 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 15 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | 11 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | -8 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 6 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 6 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | -9 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | -12 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 9 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | -12 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | -7 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 9 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | -6 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | -9 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 12 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | -11 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | -5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 25 | 12 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 10 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | -8 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 5 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 7 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 10 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 8 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | -14 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 5 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 10 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | -11 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 6 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 21 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 5 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 7 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 6 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 28 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 16 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 23 | -9 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| 56 of 88· last season64%needs 25% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 11.9Strong |
| DEN +5.5 spreadDenver Nuggets · Today 9:40 PM ET | +155at Bovada | 70 of 88· last season80%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | 10.0Strong |
| DEN +2.5 spreadDenver Nuggets · Today 9:40 PM ET | +240at Bovada | 63 of 88· last season72%needs 29% to break even | Record is last season's | 9.9Strong |
| DEN -0.5 1st quarter spreadDenver Nuggets · Today 9:40 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 54 of 88· last season61%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | 8.4Strong |
| DEN +3.5 spreadDenver Nuggets · Today 9:40 PM ET | +205at Bovada | 67 of 88· last season76%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | 8.0Strong |
| DEN +6.5 spreadDenver Nuggets · Today 9:40 PM ET | +135at Bovada | 72 of 88· last season82%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | 6.4Good |
| DEN +4.5 spreadDenver Nuggets · Today 9:40 PM ET | +180at Bovada | 67 of 88· last season76%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | 5.6Good |
| DEN +0.5 1st quarter spreadDenver Nuggets · Today 9:40 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 56 of 88· last season64%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | 4.0Good |
| DEN +7.5 spreadDenver Nuggets · Today 9:40 PM ET | +115at Bovada | 74 of 88· last season84%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | 3.7Good |
| DEN +8 spreadDenver Nuggets · Today 9:40 PM ET | +110at Bovada | 74 of 87· last season85%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | 2.9Slight |
| DEN +5.5 2nd half spreadDenver Nuggets · Today 9:40 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 63% to break even | 1.8Slight |
| DEN +0.5 1st half spreadDenver Nuggets · Today 9:40 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 54 of 88· last season61%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.4Slight |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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