This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 61% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 61% to break even | 65%–100% | 39 points betterwon 100%, needs 61% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 61% to break even | 54%–93% | 19 points betterwon 80%, needs 61% |
| Last 15 games | 13 of 1587%needs 61% to break even | 67%–95% | 26 points betterwon 87%, needs 61% |
| Last season | 38 of 5076%needs 61% to break even | 65%–84% | 15 points betterwon 76%, needs 61% |
| Every game | 38 of 5076%needs 61% to break even | 65%–84% | 15 points betterwon 76%, needs 61% |
Tonight DEN plays on the road, as the underdog, against OKC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Threes in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Threes | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 30 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 27 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 23 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 8 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 23 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 threesChristian Braun · Today 9:40 PM ET | +172at FanDuel | 12 of 50· last season24%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.