This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 2% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 2% to break even | 0%–35% | 2 points shortwon 0%, needs 2% |
| Last 10 games | 0 of 100%needs 2% to break even | 0%–21% | 2 points shortwon 0%, needs 2% |
| Last 15 games | 0 of 150%needs 2% to break even | 0%–15% | 2 points shortwon 0%, needs 2% |
| Last season | 1 of 602%needs 2% to break even | 0%–7% | 1 points shortwon 2%, needs 2% |
| Every game | 1 of 602%needs 2% to break even | 0%–7% | 1 points shortwon 2%, needs 2% |
Tonight DEN plays on the road, as the underdog, against OKC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Double-double in each game against yes, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Double-double | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.