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NBAPlayer propAssists
DeMar DeRozan over 3.5 assists
Won7 of 10last 10 games · 70%
Best price+198Kalshi
Price needs33.6%wins to break even
Every game41 of 77this season and last
Trend score5.8Good
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 34% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 34% to break even | 27%–86% | 26 points betterwon 60%, needs 34% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 34% to break even | 44%–87% | 36 points betterwon 70%, needs 34% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 34% to break even | 39%–78% | 26 points betterwon 60%, needs 34% |
| Last season | 41 of 7753%needs 34% to break even | 44%–62% | 20 points betterwon 53%, needs 34% |
| Every game | 41 of 7753%needs 34% to break even | 44%–62% | 20 points betterwon 53%, needs 34% |
Games like tonight
Tonight DEN plays on the road, as the underdog, against OKC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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DeMar DeRozan over 3.5 assists1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Assists in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Assists | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 5 |  LAC | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Apr 3 |  NO | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 1 |  TOR | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 28 |  ATL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 26 |  ORL | 11 | +7.5 | Won |
| Mar 24 |  CHA | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 22 |  BKN | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 19 |  PHI | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 17 |  SA | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 15 |  UTAH | 11 | +7.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 | LAC | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 11 | CHA | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 10 |  IND | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 5 | NO | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 |  PHX | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 1 |  LAL | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Feb 26 |  DAL | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 25 |  HOU | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Feb 23 |  MEM | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 21 | SA | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 19 | ORL | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 11 | UTAH | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 9 | NO | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 7 |  CLE | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 6 | LAC | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 4 | MEM | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 1 |  WSH | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 30 |  BOS | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 29 | PHI | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 27 |  NY | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 25 |  DET | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 23 | CLE | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 21 | TOR | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 20 |  MIA | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 18 |  POR | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 16 | WSH | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 14 | NY | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 12 | LAL | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 11 | HOU | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 9 |  GS | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 6 | DAL | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 4 |  MIL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 2 | PHX | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 1 | BOS | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 30 | LAC | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 28 | LAL | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 | DAL | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 | DET | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | HOU | 9 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 20 | POR | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 | POR | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 |  MIN | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 11 |  DEN | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 8 | IND | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | MIA | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 3 | HOU | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | MEM | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | UTAH | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 26 | PHX | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 24 | MIN | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | DEN | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 20 | MEM | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 19 |  OKC | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | SA | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 14 | MIN | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 | ATL | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 11 | DEN | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | MIN | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | OKC | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 5 | GS | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 3 | DEN | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | MIL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 |  CHI | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 28 | OKC | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | LAL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | UTAH | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 22 | PHX | 9 | +5.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on DeMar DeRozan in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 14.5 pointsDeMar DeRozan · Today 9:40 PM ET |  +146at Kalshi | 49 of 77· last season64%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 0.5 threesDeMar DeRozan · Today 9:40 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 32 of 77· last season42%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 0.5 threesDeMar DeRozan · Today 9:40 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 62% to break even | -20.6Not beating its price | ||
| Under 14.5 pointsDeMar DeRozan · Today 9:40 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 64% to break even | -33.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.