This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 40% to break even | 27%–86% | 20 points betterwon 60%, needs 40% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 40% to break even | 35%–81% | 20 points betterwon 60%, needs 40% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 40% to break even | 39%–78% | 20 points betterwon 60%, needs 40% |
| Last season | 59 of 8867%needs 40% to break even | 58%–75% | 27 points betterwon 67%, needs 40% |
| Every game | 59 of 8867%needs 40% to break even | 58%–75% | 27 points betterwon 67%, needs 40% |
Tonight DEN plays on the road, as the underdog, against OKC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against den 1h +1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat -1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 30 | -7 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 27 | 9 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Apr 23 | -22 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 20 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 14 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 8 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | -14 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | -7 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 14 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | -7 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 9 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | 10 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 6 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 32 | +33.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | -11 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | -16 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 6 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 9 | -6 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | -13 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 10 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Mar 2 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | -8 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 9 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | -9 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 29 | +30.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 7 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 6 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 5 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | -6 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | -19 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | -7 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 9 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 15 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | -6 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 6 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 14 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | -26 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 17 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | -5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 10 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | -8 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | -7 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 9 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 14 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | -10 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 23 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | -8 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 14 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 7 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | 23 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | -19 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 24 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 15 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 8 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | -5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | -5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 9 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 17 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 8 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 9 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 6 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | -8 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 17 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Oct 23 | 9 | +10.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.