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Trends
Bets that have kept winning more often than their price says they should, strongest first. A trend ignores the opponent, and short runs can be luck.
| Last 10 games | Details | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TA&M +0.5 1st quarter spreadTexas A&M Aggies · TA&M @ ALA · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET · 3 more numbers in Details |  +124at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 45% to break even | 10.2Strong | ||
| 2 | UTAH -2.5 1st quarter spreadUtah Utes · HOU @ UTAH · Sat, Oct 24, 10:15 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | -107at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | 4.8Good | |
| 3 | CAL +6.5 1st quarter spreadCalifornia Golden Bears · CAL @ SMU · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET |  -101at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 50% to break even | 4.5Good | ||
| 4 | WSU +3.5 1st quarter spreadWashington State Cougars · BOIS @ WSU · Sat, Oct 24, 6:00 PM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | -126at Kalshi | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 56% to break even | 4.3Good | ||
| 5 | UVA -2.5 1st quarter spreadVirginia Cavaliers · DUKE @ UVA · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | +140at Kalshi | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.7Not beating its price | |
| 6 | ISU +2.5 1st quarter spreadIowa State Cyclones · ISU @ ARIZ · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -101at Polymarket | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.3Not beating its price | |
| 7 | UNT -0.5 1st quarter spreadNorth Texas Mean Green · UNT @ NAVY · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 45% to break even | -4.0Not beating its price | ||
| 8 | VT +0.5 1st quarter spreadVirginia Tech Hokies · VT @ CLEM · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | -139at Polymarket | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 58% to break even | Record is this season's | -4.5Not beating its price | |
| 9 | AUB +0.5 1st quarter spreadAuburn Tigers · LSU @ AUB · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | -112at Kalshi | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.9Not beating its price | |
| 10 | TENN +0.5 1st quarter spreadTennessee Volunteers · TENN @ SC · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -164at Polymarket | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.4Not beating its price | |
| 11 | NCSU -2.5 1st quarter spreadNC State Wolfpack · NCSU @ STAN · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | -103at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 51% to break even | -8.9Not beating its price | ||
| 12 | IU -0.5 1st quarter spreadIndiana Hoosiers · IU @ MICH · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | -101at Polymarket | 13 of 16· last season81%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.9Not beating its price | |
| 13 | USU +0.5 1st quarter spreadUtah State Aggies · USU @ TXST · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | +124at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.2Not beating its price | |
| 14 | HOU +0.5 1st quarter spreadHouston Cougars · HOU @ UTAH · Sat, Oct 24, 10:15 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | -109at Polymarket | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -9.2Not beating its price | |
| 15 | TEX -0.5 1st quarter spreadTexas Longhorns · MISS @ TEX · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | +116at Polymarket | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 46% to break even | Record is this season's | -9.7Not beating its price | |
| 16 | MISS +0.5 1st quarter spreadOle Miss Rebels · MISS @ TEX · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -145at Polymarket | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 59% to break even | -9.7Not beating its price | ||
| 17 | GT -0.5 1st quarter spreadGeorgia Tech Yellow Jackets · BC @ GT · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -105at Polymarket | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 51% to break even | -10.3Not beating its price | ||
| 18 | MICH +0.5 1st quarter spreadMichigan Wolverines · IU @ MICH · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | -123at Polymarket | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.8Not beating its price | |
| 19 | ARMY +0.5 1st quarter spreadArmy Black Knights · ARMY @ TLSA · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | -164at Polymarket | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 62% to break even | -12.0Not beating its price | ||
| 20 | SC -0.5 1st quarter spreadSouth Carolina Gamecocks · TENN @ SC · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 44% to break even | -13.0Not beating its price | ||
| 21 | LSU -3.5 1st quarter spreadLSU Tigers · LSU @ AUB · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | +124at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 45% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.8Not beating its price | |
| 22 | TTU -3.5 1st quarter spreadTexas Tech Red Raiders · TTU @ CIN · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.6Not beating its price | |
| 23 | CIN +3.5 1st quarter spreadCincinnati Bearcats · TTU @ CIN · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.3Not beating its price | |
| 24 | WVU +1.5 1st quarter spreadWest Virginia Mountaineers · WVU @ TCU · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 49% to break even | -17.1Not beating its price | ||
| 25 | BOIS -6.5 1st quarter spreadBoise State Broncos · BOIS @ WSU · Sat, Oct 24, 6:00 PM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | +124at Kalshi | 7 of 14· last season50%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.8Not beating its price | |
| 26 | NAVY +0.5 1st quarter spreadNavy Midshipmen · UNT @ NAVY · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -151at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 60% to break even | -17.9Not beating its price | ||
| 27 | KSU -0.5 1st quarter spreadKansas State Wildcats · KSU @ ASU · Sat, Oct 24, 3:45 PM ET | +107at Polymarket | 6 of 12· last season50%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.5Not beating its price | |
| 28 | OU -0.5 1st quarter spreadOklahoma Sooners · OU @ MSST · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.6Not beating its price | |
| 29 | BC +0.5 1st quarter spreadBoston College Eagles · BC @ GT · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 54% to break even | -19.0Not beating its price | ||
| 30 | TXST -4.5 1st quarter spreadTexas State Bobcats · USU @ TXST · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | -103at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 51% to break even | -19.8Not beating its price | ||
| 31 | ASU +0.5 1st quarter spreadArizona State Sun Devils · KSU @ ASU · Sat, Oct 24, 3:45 PM ET | -145at Polymarket | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 59% to break even | -20.9Not beating its price | ||
| 32 | ARIZ -2.5 1st quarter spreadArizona Wildcats · ISU @ ARIZ · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 54% to break even | Record is this season's | -21.7Not beating its price | |
| 33 | STAN +3.5 1st quarter spreadStanford Cardinal · NCSU @ STAN · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | -183at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 65% to break even | -22.1Not beating its price | ||
| 34 | TLSA -0.5 1st quarter spreadTulsa Golden Hurricane · ARMY @ TLSA · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 44% to break even | -22.2Not beating its price | ||
| 35 | ALA -6.5 1st quarter spreadAlabama Crimson Tide · TA&M @ ALA · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | +124at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last season40%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.2Not beating its price | |
| 36 | CONN -3.5 1st quarter spreadUConn Huskies · UMass Minutemen @ CONN · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -109at Polymarket | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 52% to break even | -23.5Not beating its price | ||
| 37 | CLEM -0.5 1st quarter spreadClemson Tigers · VT @ CLEM · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 47% to break even | -24.3Not beating its price | ||
| 38 | SDSU -0.5 1st quarter spreadSan Diego State Aztecs · SDSU @ CSU · Sat, Oct 24, 6:30 PM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | +124at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.7Not beating its price | |
| 39 | TCU -1.5 1st quarter spreadTCU Horned Frogs · WVU @ TCU · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 56% to break even | -24.9Not beating its price | ||
| 40 | DUKE +0.5 1st quarter spreadDuke Blue Devils · DUKE @ UVA · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -168at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 63% to break even | -25.3Not beating its price | ||
| 41 | MSST +0.5 1st quarter spreadMississippi State Bulldogs · OU @ MSST · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -158at Polymarket | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.7Not beating its price | |
| 42 | CSU -0.5 1st quarter spreadColorado State Rams · SDSU @ CSU · Sat, Oct 24, 6:30 PM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | +134at Kalshi | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 43% to break even | -26.0Not beating its price | ||
| 43 | SMU -6.5 1st quarter spreadSMU Mustangs · CAL @ SMU · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 6 of 13· last season46%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Each record replays today's exact bet over that team's or player's recent games; ties don't count. The order rewards high win rates, more games and stretches that agree, and subtracts what the price expects. How trends work