This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 45% to break even | 14%–73% | 5 points shortwon 40%, needs 45% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 45% to break even | 19%–65% | 5 points shortwon 40%, needs 45% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 45% to break even | 22%–61% | 5 points shortwon 40%, needs 45% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 45% to break even | 22%–78% | 5 points betterwon 50%, needs 45% |
| Last season | 7 of 1450%needs 45% to break even | 30%–70% | 5 points betterwon 50%, needs 45% |
| Every game | 10 of 2050%needs 45% to break even | 33%–67% | 5 points betterwon 50%, needs 45% |
Tonight BOIS plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against WSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1Q margin in each game against bois 1q -6.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1Q margin | Beat 6.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 10 | 2 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 54.5 game total, BOIS gamesBoise State Broncos · Tomorrow 6:00 PM ET |
| 14 |
| +7.5 |
| Won |
| Sep 26 | 8 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 0 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | -4 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 13 | 0 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 14 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | -4 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 0 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 0 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | -7 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | 0 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 11 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 10 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | -6 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 14 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | AFA | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 20 | +13.5 | Won |
| Aug 28 | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| 5 of 6· this season83%needs 50% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -7.3Not beating its price |
| Over 57.5 game total, BOIS gamesBoise State Broncos · Tomorrow 6:00 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 42% to break even | -7.6Not beating its price |
| Over 53.5 game total, BOIS gamesBoise State Broncos · Tomorrow 6:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 51% to break even | Record is this season's | -8.1Not beating its price |
| Over 52.5 game total, BOIS gamesBoise State Broncos · Tomorrow 6:00 PM ET | -105at Hard Rock | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 51% to break even | Record is this season's | -8.5Not beating its price |
| Over 37.5 team totalBoise State Broncos · Tomorrow 6:00 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 7 of 14· last season50%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.4Not beating its price |
| Over 31.5 team totalBoise State Broncos · Tomorrow 6:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 56% to break even | -9.5Not beating its price |
| Over 34.5 team totalBoise State Broncos · Tomorrow 6:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 48% to break even | -10.6Not beating its price |
| Over 60.5 game total, BOIS gamesBoise State Broncos · Tomorrow 6:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 6 of 14· last season43%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.9Not beating its price |
| BOIS -13 spreadBoise State Broncos · Tomorrow 6:00 PM ET | LVG-106at LowVig | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 51% to break even | -12.5Not beating its price |
| BOIS -13.5 spreadBoise State Broncos · Tomorrow 6:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 52% to break even | -12.7Not beating its price |
| Over 51.5 game total, BOIS gamesBoise State Broncos · Tomorrow 6:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 58% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.7Not beating its price |
| Over 30.5 team totalBoise State Broncos · Tomorrow 6:00 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 62% to break even | -14.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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