This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 59% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 59% to break even | 44%–95% | 21 points betterwon 80%, needs 59% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 59% to break even | 44%–87% | 11 points betterwon 70%, needs 59% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 59% to break even | 59%–92% | 21 points betterwon 80%, needs 59% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 59% to break even | 35%–88% | 7 points betterwon 67%, needs 59% |
| Last season | 11 of 1573%needs 59% to break even | 52%–87% | 14 points betterwon 73%, needs 59% |
| Every game | 15 of 2171%needs 59% to break even | 54%–84% | 12 points betterwon 71%, needs 59% |
Tonight MISS plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against TEX. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1Q margin in each game against miss 1q +0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1Q margin | Beat -0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 4 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 27.5 team totalOle Miss Rebels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET |
| 11 |
| +11.5 |
| Won |
| Sep 26 | -10 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 10 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 7 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | -3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 8 | -3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 6 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 20 | 14 | +14.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | 7 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 3 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 21 | +21.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 3 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 7 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 4 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | -7 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | -4 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 10 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | -7 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 7 | +7.5 | Won |
| 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 46% to break even |
| 16.7Very strong |
| Over 24.5 team totalOle Miss Rebels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 55% to break even | 14.6Strong |
| MISS -2.5 spreadOle Miss Rebels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | 13.9Strong |
| Over 23.5 team totalOle Miss Rebels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 61% to break even | 13.5Strong |
| MISS -1.5 spreadOle Miss Rebels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +149at Polymarket | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | 12.6Strong |
| MISS to win moneylineOle Miss Rebels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | NV+147at Novig | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | 12.4Strong |
| Over 30.5 team totalOle Miss Rebels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 36% to break even | 12.0Strong |
| MISS -3.5 spreadOle Miss Rebels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +202at Polymarket | 12 of 15· last season80%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | 11.6Strong |
| MISS -0.5 spreadOle Miss Rebels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | 11.0Strong |
| MISS +0.5 spreadOle Miss Rebels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | 11.0Strong |
| MISS +1.5 spreadOle Miss Rebels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | 9.3Strong |
| MISS +2.5 spreadOle Miss Rebels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | 8.5Strong |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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