This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 45% to break even | 5%–56% | 25 points shortwon 20%, needs 45% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 45% to break even | 13%–56% | 15 points shortwon 30%, needs 45% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 45% to break even | 17%–54% | 11 points shortwon 33%, needs 45% |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 45% to break even | 10%–59% | 16 points shortwon 29%, needs 45% |
| Last season | 5 of 1338%needs 45% to break even | 20%–61% | 6 points shortwon 38%, needs 45% |
| Every game | 7 of 2035%needs 45% to break even | 20%–53% | 10 points shortwon 35%, needs 45% |
Tonight SDSU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against CSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1Q margin in each game against sdsu 1q -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1Q margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 10 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | -14 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | -7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | -10 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | -15 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 11 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | -11 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 14 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 28 | 14 | +13.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.