This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 54% to break even | 27%–86% | 6 points betterwon 60%, needs 54% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 54% to break even | 19%–65% | 14 points shortwon 40%, needs 54% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 54% to break even | 28%–67% | 8 points shortwon 47%, needs 54% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 54% to break even | 35%–88% | 12 points betterwon 67%, needs 54% |
| Last season | 6 of 1346%needs 54% to break even | 26%–68% | 8 points shortwon 46%, needs 54% |
| Every game | 10 of 1953%needs 54% to break even | 35%–70% | 2 points shortwon 53%, needs 54% |
Tonight ARIZ plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against ISU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1Q margin in each game against ariz 1q -2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1Q margin | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 10 | 11 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARIZ -17.5 spreadArizona Wildcats · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET |
| 7 |
| +4.5 |
| Won |
| Sep 26 | -7 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | -3 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 | -14 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | -7 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | -7 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 17 | +14.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | -7 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 11 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | -8 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 24 | +21.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| 4 of 6· this season67%needs 35% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -6.4Not beating its price |
| ARIZ -14.5 spreadArizona Wildcats · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 41% to break even | -7.8Not beating its price |
| ARIZ -16.5 spreadArizona Wildcats · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 38% to break even | Record is this season's | -8.9Not beating its price |
| ARIZ -13.5 spreadArizona Wildcats · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 45% to break even | -11.1Not beating its price |
| ARIZ -8.5 spreadArizona Wildcats · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 54% to break even | Record is this season's | -11.6Not beating its price |
| Over 53.5 game total, ARIZ gamesArizona Wildcats · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 45% to break even | -13.4Not beating its price |
| ARIZ -7.5 spreadArizona Wildcats · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -134at Polymarket | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 57% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.9Not beating its price |
| ARIZ -5.5 spreadArizona Wildcats · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -179at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 64% to break even | -14.2Not beating its price |
| ARIZ -10.5 spreadArizona Wildcats · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | PX+103at ProphetX | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 49% to break even | -14.3Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 game total, ARIZ gamesArizona Wildcats · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -104at FanDuel | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.4Not beating its price |
| Over 51.5 game total, ARIZ gamesArizona Wildcats · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -105at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 51% to break even | -16.9Not beating its price |
| ARIZ -6.5 spreadArizona Wildcats · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -164at Polymarket | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 62% to break even | Record is this season's | -17.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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