This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 56% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 56% to break even | 27%–86% | 4 points betterwon 60%, needs 56% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 56% to break even | 27%–73% | 6 points shortwon 50%, needs 56% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 56% to break even | 22%–61% | 16 points shortwon 40%, needs 56% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 56% to break even | 22%–78% | 6 points shortwon 50%, needs 56% |
| Last season | 6 of 1346%needs 56% to break even | 26%–68% | 10 points shortwon 46%, needs 56% |
| Every game | 9 of 1947%needs 56% to break even | 30%–65% | 9 points shortwon 47%, needs 56% |
Tonight TCU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against WVU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1Q margin in each game against tcu 1q -1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1Q margin | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 7 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 57.5 game total, TCU gamesTCU Horned Frogs · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET |
| 0 |
| -1.5 |
| Lost |
| Sep 26 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 7 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 7 | +5.5 | Won |
| Aug 29 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 30 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 14 | +12.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 14 | +12.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | -10 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | -6 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 10 | +8.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | -7 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 7 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 14 | +12.5 | Won |
| Sep 1 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 52% to break even |
| -5.0Not beating its price |
| Under 53.5 game total, TCU gamesTCU Horned Frogs · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 43% to break even | Record is this season's | -7.5Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 game total, TCU gamesTCU Horned Frogs · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -139at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 58% to break even | -8.4Not beating its price |
| Under 55.5 game total, TCU gamesTCU Horned Frogs · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 46% to break even | Record is this season's | -9.9Not beating its price |
| Under 56.5 game total, TCU gamesTCU Horned Frogs · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | NV-108at Novig | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -12.3Not beating its price |
| Under 61.5 game total, TCU gamesTCU Horned Frogs · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -172at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 63% to break even | -12.4Not beating its price |
| TCU -17.5 spreadTCU Horned Frogs · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 37% to break even | -20.7Not beating its price |
| TCU -16.5 spreadTCU Horned Frogs · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 39% to break even | -22.3Not beating its price |
| TCU -2.5 3rd quarter spreadTCU Horned Frogs · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 55% to break even | -22.3Not beating its price |
| TCU -10 spreadTCU Horned Frogs · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | PIN-102at Pinnacle | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 50% to break even | -23.4Not beating its price |
| Over 56.5 game total, TCU gamesTCU Horned Frogs · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | NV+102at Novig | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.7Not beating its price |
| TCU -10.5 spreadTCU Horned Frogs · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -109at Polymarket | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 52% to break even | -24.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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