This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 44% to break even | 14%–73% | 4 points shortwon 40%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 44% to break even | 19%–65% | 4 points shortwon 40%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 44% to break even | 13%–48% | 18 points shortwon 27%, needs 44% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 44% to break even | 19%–71% | 1 points shortwon 43%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 4 of 1233%needs 44% to break even | 16%–57% | 11 points shortwon 33%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 7 of 1937%needs 44% to break even | 21%–56% | 7 points shortwon 37%, needs 44% |
Tonight TLSA plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against ARMY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1Q margin in each game against tlsa 1q -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1Q margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 1 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | -10 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | -7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 14 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | -10 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 16 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | -7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.