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NCAAFGame line1st quarter spread
MICH 1Q +0.5 (1st quarter spread)
Won11 of 13last season · 85%
Best price-123Polymarket
Price needs55.2%wins to break even
Every game14 of 19this season and last
Trend score-10.8Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 55% to break even | 14%–73% | 15 points shortwon 40%, needs 55% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 55% to break even | 44%–87% | 15 points betterwon 70%, needs 55% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 55% to break even | 52%–87% | 18 points betterwon 73%, needs 55% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 55% to break even | 22%–78% | 5 points shortwon 50%, needs 55% |
| Last season | 11 of 1385%needs 55% to break even | 63%–95% | 29 points betterwon 85%, needs 55% |
| Every game | 14 of 1974%needs 55% to break even | 55%–87% | 19 points betterwon 74%, needs 55% |
Games like tonight
Tonight MICH plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against IU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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MICH 1Q +0.5 (1st quarter spread)2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1Q margin in each game against mich 1q +0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1Q margin | Beat -0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  PSU | -3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 |  MINN | -7 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  IOWA | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  UTEP | -7 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  OU | 7 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  WMU | 4 | +4.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 31 |  TEX | 7 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 |  OSU | 3 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 |  MD | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 |  NU | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 |  PUR | 7 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 |  MSU | 10 | +10.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 |  WASH | 7 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 |  USC | -7 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  WIS | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  NEB | 10 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  CMU | 14 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | OU | -7 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 |  UNM | 14 | +14.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Michigan Wolverines in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.