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NCAAFGame line1st quarter spread
DUKE 1Q +0.5 (1st quarter spread)
Won7 of 10last 10 games · 70%
Best price-168Kalshi
Price needs62.7%wins to break even
Every game11 of 20this season and last
Trend score-25.3Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 63% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 63% to break even | 14%–73% | 23 points shortwon 40%, needs 63% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 63% to break even | 44%–87% | 7 points betterwon 70%, needs 63% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 63% to break even | 33%–72% | 9 points shortwon 53%, needs 63% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 63% to break even | 22%–78% | 13 points shortwon 50%, needs 63% |
| Last season | 8 of 1457%needs 63% to break even | 36%–76% | 6 points shortwon 57%, needs 63% |
| Every game | 11 of 2055%needs 63% to break even | 37%–72% | 8 points shortwon 55%, needs 63% |
Games like tonight
Tonight DUKE plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against UVA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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DUKE 1Q +0.5 (1st quarter spread)2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1Q margin in each game against duke 1q +0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1Q margin | Beat -0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  UNC | -10 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 |  GT | -7 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  W&M | 7 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  STAN | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 |  ILL | -3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 |  TULN | 7 | +7.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 31 |  ASU | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 6 |  UVA | 7 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 |  WAKE | 11 | +11.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | UNC | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | UVA | -7 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 |  CONN | -3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 |  CLEM | 14 | +14.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | GT | -7 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  CAL | -7 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  SYR | 7 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  NCSU | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | TULN | -14 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | ILL | -4 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Aug 28 |  ELON | 3 | +3.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Duke Blue Devils in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.