Bets that have kept winning more often than their price says they should, strongest first. A trend ignores the opponent, and short runs can be luck.
| Last 10 games | Details | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Over 14.5 receiving yardsKayshon Boutte · NYG @ HOU · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 2 more numbers in DetailsMontgomery doubtful (RB) | |||||
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Each record replays today's exact bet over that team's or player's recent games; ties don't count. The order rewards high win rates, more games and stretches that agree, and subtracts what the price expects. How trends work
| 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 46% to break even |
| 19.6Very strong |
| 2 | Under 12.5 rush attemptsKendre Miller · PIT @ NO · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETKamara questionable: next up at RB | -126at Kalshi | 7 of 7· last season100%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | 6.2Good |
| 3 | Over 19.5 receiving yardsXavier Hutchinson · NYG @ HOU · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 3 more numbers in DetailsMontgomery doubtful (RB) | +146at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 41% to break even | 6.0Good |
| 4 | Over 39.5 rushing yardsCam Skattebo · NYG @ HOU · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | +140at Kalshi | 10 of 13· last 15 games, 2 skipped77%needs 42% to break even | 5.7Good |
| 5 | Under 7.5 receiving yardsOllie Gordon II · MIA @ NYJ · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | -110at BetMGM | 16 of 17· last season94%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | 5.7Good |
| 6 | Under 16.5 receiving yardsKonata Mumpfield · LAR @ LV · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | -108at DraftKings | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 52% to break even | 5.4Good |
| 7 | Under 9.5 rushing yardsSione Vaki · GB @ DET · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -110at DraftKings | 8 of 8· last season100%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | 3.8Good |
| 8 | Under 49.5 rushing yardsOllie Gordon II · MIA @ NYJ · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | +105at Kalshi | 17 of 17· last season100%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | 3.8Good |
| 9 | Under 20.5 rush attemptsJahmyr Gibbs · GB @ DET · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 16 of 17· last season94%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | 2.3Slight |
| 10 | Under 22.5 receiving yardsSavion Williams · GB @ DET · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET · 3 more numbers in DetailsListed questionable | -114at BetOnline | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | 2.0Slight |
| 11 | Under 13.5 rush attemptsOllie Gordon II · MIA @ NYJ · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 17 of 17· last season100%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | 2.0Slight |
| 12 | Under 2.5 receptionsSavion Williams · GB @ DET · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | -137at DraftKings | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.0Slight |
| 13 | Over 239.5 passing yardsPatrick Mahomes · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 10 more numbers in Details | +140at Bovada | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 42% to break even | 0.6Slight |
| 14 | Over 6.5 receptionsTrey McBride · DEN @ ARI · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -148at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 60% to break even | Record is this season's | 0.0Slight |
| 15 | Under 41.5 rushing yardsKendre Miller · PIT @ NO · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET · 2 more numbers in DetailsKamara questionable: next up at RB | -117at BetRivers | 10 of 12· last 15 games, 3 skipped83%needs 54% to break even | -0.1Not beating its price |
| 16 | Under 29.5 rushing yardsJ.J. McCarthy · NYG @ HOU · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | -199at Kalshi | 11 of 12· last 15 games, 3 skipped92%needs 67% to break even | -0.2Not beating its price |
| 17 | Under 1.5 receptionsOllie Gordon II · MIA @ NYJ · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -116at BetOnline | 17 of 17· last season100%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.2Not beating its price |
| 18 | Under 2.5 rushing yardsKirk Cousins · LAR @ LV · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -148at FanDuel | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 60% to break even | -0.4Not beating its price |
| 19 | Under 17.5 rush attemptsChuba Hubbard · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 16 of 16· last season100%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.2Not beating its price |
| 20 | Over 1.5 receptionsJerry Jeudy · CLE @ TEN · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 61% to break even | -1.4Not beating its price |
| 21 | Doesn't score a TDJaylen Warren · PIT @ NO · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +101at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 50% to break even | -1.8Not beating its price |
| 22 | Under 2.5 receptionsTez Johnson · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETEgbuka questionable: next up at WR | -183at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 65% to break even | -1.8Not beating its price |
| 23 | Under 69.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · NYG @ HOU · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 3 more numbers in DetailsMontgomery doubtful: next up at RB | -183at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 65% to break even | Record is this season's | -1.9Not beating its price |
| 24 | Under 43.5 receiving yardsMalik Washington · MIA @ NYJ · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | -115at BetMGM | 16 of 17· last season94%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.1Not beating its price |
| 25 | Over 199.5 passing yardsDaniel Jones · IND @ MIN · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | -103at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.3Not beating its price |
| 26 | Under 3.5 receptionsKenneth Walker III · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -160at FanDuel | 18 of 20· last season90%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.7Not beating its price |
| 27 | Under 70.5 rushing yardsChuba Hubbard · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -112at DraftKings | 14 of 16· last season88%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.8Not beating its price |
| 28 | Over 1.5 receptionsJohn Metchie III · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 50% to break even | -3.9Not beating its price |
| 29 | Under 4.5 receptionsMatthew Golden · GB @ DET · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET · 1 more number in DetailsListed questionable | +118at FanDuel | 14 of 15· last season93%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.2Not beating its price |
| 30 | Over 39.5 receiving yardsJuwan Johnson · PIT @ NO · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | +134at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 43% to break even | -4.3Not beating its price |
| 31 | Under 19.5 receiving yardsJalen Brooks · DEN @ ARI · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | -115at BetMGM | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 53% to break even | -4.3Not beating its price |
| 32 | Under 1.5 receptionsKonata Mumpfield · LAR @ LV · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +128at FanDuel | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.4Not beating its price |
| 33 | Under 6.5 receptionsJustin Jefferson · IND @ MIN · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -160at BetMGM | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 62% to break even | -4.5Not beating its price |
| 34 | Over 3.5 receptionsTre Tucker · LAR @ LV · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +114at BetRivers | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 47% to break even | -4.5Not beating its price |
| 35 | Under 0.5 interceptions thrownJared Goff · GB @ DET · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 57% to break even | -4.6Not beating its price |
| 36 | Under 11.5 rushing yardsBo Nix · DEN @ ARI · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | -107at DraftKings | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -4.7Not beating its price |
| 37 | Under 30.5 pass attemptsBrock Purdy · SF @ ATL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) | +101at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 50% to break even | -4.7Not beating its price |
| 38 | Under 202.5 passing yardsJ.J. McCarthy · NYG @ HOU · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 4 more numbers in Details | -111at DraftKings | 8 of 10· last season80%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.8Not beating its price |
| 39 | Under 1.5 passing TDsC.J. Stroud · NYG @ HOU · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | +134at Kalshi | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.9Not beating its price |
| 40 | Under 39.5 receiving yardsCade Otton · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 54% to break even | -5.0Not beating its price |
| 41 | Under 4.5 receptionsT.J. Hockenson · IND @ MIN · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -144at DraftKings | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 59% to break even | -5.0Not beating its price |
| 42 | Over 15.5 receiving yardsTroy Franklin · DEN @ ARI · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | -112at DraftKings | 14 of 17· last season82%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.0Not beating its price |
| 43 | Over 14.5 rushing yardsAlvin Kamara · PIT @ NO · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET · 3 more numbers in DetailsListed questionable | -142at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 59% to break even | -5.2Not beating its price |
| 44 | Over 1.5 passing TDsJacoby Brissett · DEN @ ARI · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.3Not beating its price |
| 45 | Under 14.5 rush attemptsWoody Marks · NYG @ HOU · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful: next up at RB | +146at Kalshi | 11 of 18· last season61%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.4Not beating its price |
| 46 | Under 3.5 receptionsKyren Williams · LAR @ LV · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +104at FanDuel | 18 of 20· last season90%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.5Not beating its price |
| 47 | Under 14.5 receiving yardsBraelon Allen · MIA @ NYJ · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETHall questionable: next up at RB | -115at BetRivers | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 53% to break even | -5.5Not beating its price |
| 48 | Doesn't score a TDDrake London · SF @ ATL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 62% to break even | Record is this season's | -5.6Not beating its price |
| 49 | Under 52.5 receiving yardsJaylen Waddle · DEN @ ARI · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET · 3 more numbers in DetailsListed questionable | -110at DraftKings | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 52% to break even | -5.6Not beating its price |
| 50 | Over 1.5 passing TDsMatthew Stafford · LAR @ LV · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 17 of 20· last season85%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.6Not beating its price |
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