This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 62% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 62% to break even | 65%–100% | 38 points betterwon 100%, needs 62% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 62% to break even | 65%–98% | 28 points betterwon 90%, needs 62% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 62% to break even | 46%–83% | 5 points betterwon 67%, needs 62% |
| This season | 6 of 6100%needs 62% to break even | 69%–100% | 38 points betterwon 100%, needs 62% |
| Last season | 7 of 1258%needs 62% to break even | 36%–78% | 3 points shortwon 58%, needs 62% |
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against SF. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Anytime TD in each game against no, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores a TDDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 4.5 receptionsDrake London |
| Every game | 13 of 1872%needs 62% to break even | 53%–86% | 11 points betterwon 72%, needs 62% |
| 0 |
| +0.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| +134at Kalshi |
| 5 of 12· last season42%needs 43% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -26.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +198at Kalshi |
| 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 34% to break even |
| -7.0Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 receptionsDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +112at FanDuel | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 47% to break even | -10.6Not beating its price |
| Under 69.5 receiving yardsDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 6 of 12· last season50%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.4Not beating its price |
| Under 79.5 receiving yardsDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 7 of 12· last season58%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.5Not beating its price |
| Over 99.5 receiving yardsDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 39% to break even | -16.1Not beating its price |
| Over 89.5 receiving yardsDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 47% to break even | -17.4Not beating its price |
| Under 84.5 receiving yardsDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -110at DraftKings | 7 of 12· last season58%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.1Not beating its price |
| Under 82.5 receiving yardsDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 7 of 12· last season58%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.8Not beating its price |
| Under 81.5 receiving yardsDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 7 of 12· last season58%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.9Not beating its price |
| Over 6.5 receptionsDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +135at BetMGM | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 43% to break even | -20.0Not beating its price |
| Under 6.5 receptionsDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 65% to break even | -22.0Not beating its price |
| Over 84.5 receiving yardsDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -114at DraftKings | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 53% to break even | -22.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.