This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 56% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 56% to break even | 44%–95% | 24 points betterwon 80%, needs 56% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 56% to break even | 65%–98% | 34 points betterwon 90%, needs 56% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1292%needs 56% to break even | 70%–98% | 36 points betterwon 92%, needs 56% |
| This season | 4 of 580%needs 56% to break even | 44%–95% | 24 points betterwon 80%, needs 56% |
| Last season | 7 of 7100%needs 56% to break even | 72%–100% | 44 points betterwon 100%, needs 56% |
| Every game | 11 of 1292%needs 56% to break even | 70%–98% | 36 points betterwon 92%, needs 56% |
Tonight NO plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against PIT. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rush attempts in each game against under 12.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 12.5 rush attemptsKendre Miller · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETKamara questionable: next up at RB | -107at Kalshi | 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 52% to break even | -35.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 41.5 rushing yardsKendre Miller · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETKamara questionable: next up at RB | -117at BetRivers | 10 of 12· last 15 games, 3 skipped83%needs 54% to break even | -0.1Not beating its price | ||
| Under 38.5 rushing yardsKendre Miller · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETKamara questionable: next up at RB | -110at DraftKings | 9 of 12· last 15 games, 3 skipped75%needs 52% to break even | -5.4Not beating its price | ||
| Under 39.5 rushing yardsKendre Miller · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETKamara questionable: next up at RB | -118at BetMGM | 9 of 12· last 15 games, 3 skipped75%needs 54% to break even | -6.6Not beating its price | ||
| Under 24.5 rushing yardsKendre Miller · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETKamara questionable: next up at RB | +198at Kalshi | 4 of 7· last season57%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 29.5 rushing yardsKendre Miller · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETKamara questionable: next up at RB | +134at Kalshi | 5 of 7· last season71%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 1.5 receptionsKendre Miller · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETKamara questionable: next up at RB | +171at BetOnline | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 37% to break even | -15.5Not beating its price | ||
| Under 3.5 receiving yardsKendre Miller · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETKamara questionable: next up at RB | -111at BetOnline | 7 of 12· last 15 games, 3 skipped58%needs 53% to break even | -16.1Not beating its price | ||
| Scores a TDKendre Miller · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETKamara questionable: next up at RB | +166at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 38% to break even | -19.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 49.5 rushing yardsKendre Miller · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETKamara questionable: next up at RB | +189at Kalshi | 2 of 10· last 10 games20%needs 35% to break even | -20.9Not beating its price | ||
| Under 1.5 receptionsKendre Miller · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETKamara questionable: next up at RB | -227at BetOnline | 6 of 7· last season86%needs 69% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 3.5 receiving yardsKendre Miller · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETKamara questionable: next up at RB | -116at BetOnline | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 54% to break even | -23.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 39.5 rushing yardsKendre Miller · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETKamara questionable: next up at RB | +109at Kalshi | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 48% to break even | -26.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.