Each of this player's bets replayed over their recent games, strongest first. Red means it has won less often than its price needs.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 receptionsTB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 64% to break even |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Teammates' bets that have won much more often in the games Tez Johnson's bet won. Useful when building a parlay from one game; it says nothing about why.
Averages over recent windows. A window reaches back into last season when this season has fewer games.
| Window | Games | Snap % | Car | Rush yds | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 36.2 | 0.2 | 2 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 29 | 0 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 28 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 18 | 0 |
| This season | 6 | 34 | 0.3 | 1 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 24.2 | 0 |
| Last season | 15 | 47.1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 21.5 | 0.3 |
Snap %: playing time: minutes played (nhl: time on ice, in minutes; nfl: share of the offense's snaps, %) · Car: carries (rushing attempts) · Rush yds: rushing yards · Tgt: targets (passes thrown his way) · Rec: receptions · Rec yds: receiving yards · Rec TD: receiving touchdowns
This season and last, newest first.
What CAR's defense has given up to wide receivers, against the rest of the league.
| Stat | CAR allows a game | Rank | Average defense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yardsto wide receivers | 147.6 | 16th fewestof 32 | 150.4 |
| Receptionsto wide receivers | 12.4 | 12th mostof 32 | 11.6 |
| Anytime TDto wide receivers | 0.4 | 3rd fewestof 32, a tough matchup | 0.9 |
Per game over 5 games, this season. “Most” means this defense gives up more than most.
| Week | Team | Player | Receiving yards | All wide receivers |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | DeVonta Smith | 75 | 131 | |
| Wk 4 |
| Jameson Williams |
| 102 |
| 272 |
| Wk 3 | Denzel Boston | 41 | 50 |
| Wk 2 | Drake London | 51 | 85 |
| Wk 1 | Kalif Raymond | 84 | 200 |
| Wk 19last season | Puka Nacua | 111 | 194 |
| Wk 18last season | Mike Evans | 34 | 78 |
| Wk 17last season | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 72 | 86 |
| Wk 16last season | Emeka Egbuka | 40 | 115 |
| Wk 15last season | Chris Olave | 85 | 192 |
Per-game averages in different kinds of games, this season and last, with the row that matches the next game (vs CAR) marked. Few games in a row means it can swing a lot.
| Which games | Played | Snap % | Car | Rush yds | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Every game | 21 | 43.4 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 22.2 | 0.2 |
| Home | 11 | 40.9 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 18 | 0.3 |
| AwayNext game | 10 | 46.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 26.9 | 0.2 |
| vs CARNext game | 2 | 19 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| -1.0Not beating its price |
| Under 24.5 receiving yardsTB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 51% to break even | -5.7Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 receptionsTB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 5 of 15· last season33%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.7Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 receiving yardsTB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 5 of 15· last season33%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -36.4Not beating its price |
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From the latest injury report and depth chart, with the next opponent, CAR. Statuses change up to game time.
Emeka Egbuka, TB's starting WR, is questionable. If Egbuka sits, Tez Johnson is next up.
CAR is missing: Jaelan Phillips (starting SLB, doubtful).