This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 46% to break even | 65%–100% | 54 points betterwon 100%, needs 46% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 46% to break even | 65%–98% | 44 points betterwon 90%, needs 46% |
| Last 15 games | 14 of 1593%needs 46% to break even | 75%–98% | 48 points betterwon 93%, needs 46% |
| This season | 6 of 6100%needs 46% to break even | 69%–100% | 54 points betterwon 100%, needs 46% |
| Last season | 16 of 1889%needs 46% to break even | 71%–96% | 43 points betterwon 89%, needs 46% |
| Every game | 22 of 2492%needs 46% to break even | 78%–97% | 46 points betterwon 92%, needs 46% |
Tonight HOU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NYG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 14.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 14.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 16 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 38 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 36 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 21 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 37 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 21 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 22 | 21 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Wk 21 | 6 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 20 | 75 | +60.5 | Won | |
| Wk 19 | 66 | +51.5 | Won | |
| Wk 18 | 24 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 16 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 15 | 30 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Wk 13 | 35 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Wk 12 | 15 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 9 | 0 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 8 | 75 | +60.5 | Won | |
| Wk 7 | 55 | +40.5 | Won | |
| Wk 6 | 93 | +78.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 43 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 18 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 28 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 16 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 103 | +88.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 9.5 receiving yardsKayshon Boutte · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -103at Kalshi | 2 of 18· last season11%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -40.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 11.5 receiving yardsKayshon Boutte · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -107at DraftKings | 2 of 18· last season11%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -41.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 12.5 receiving yardsKayshon Boutte · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -114at FanDuel | 2 of 18· last season11%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -42.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsKayshon Boutte · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -161at Kalshi | 2 of 18· last season11%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -49.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 receptionsKayshon Boutte · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | +170at BetRivers | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 37% to break even | 9.2Strong | ||
| Under 1.5 receptionsKayshon Boutte · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -173at DraftKings | 7 of 18· last season39%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -42.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.