Brock Purdy Props, Odds & Game Log

Who's in, who's out

From the latest injury report and depth chart, with the next opponent, ATL. Statuses change up to game time.

Also out for SF: Deebo Samuel Sr. (starting WR).
In 1 game without Deebo Samuel Sr. (this season and last): 264 passing yards per game, against 239.2 in 5 with Samuel.

How ATL defends quarterbacks

What ATL's defense has given up to quarterbacks, against the rest of the league.

Stat	ATL allows a game	Rank	Average defense
Passing yardsto quarterbacks	268.7	4th mostof 32, an easy matchup	235.4
Passing TDsto quarterbacks	1.7	10th mostof 32, an easy matchup	1.5
Completionsto quarterbacks	26.5	2nd mostof 32, an easy matchup	21.5
Rushing yardsto quarterbacks	4.5	1st fewestof 32, a tough matchup	17.2

Per game over 6 games, this season. “Most” means this defense gives up more than most.

Last 10 quarterbacks against ATL passing yards, the one who had the most each game

Week	Team	Player	Passing yards	All quarterbacks
Wk 6	CHI	Caleb Williams	305	305
Wk 5	BAL	Tyler Huntley	201	201
Wk 4	NO	Tyler Shough	286	286
Wk 3	GB	Jordan Love	312	312
Wk 2	CAR	Bryce Young	287	287
Wk 1	PIT	Aaron Rodgers	221	221
Wk 18last season	NO	Tyler Shough	259	259
Wk 17last season	LAR	Matthew Stafford	269	269
Wk 16last season	ARI	Jacoby Brissett	203	203
Wk 15last season	TB	Baker Mayfield	277	277

Props

Each of this player's bets replayed over their recent games, strongest first. Red means it has won less often than its price needs.

Bet	Best price	How often it won	Last 10 games	Trend score
Under 30.5 pass attemptsSF @ ATL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET	+105at Kalshi	5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 49% to break even		-3.9Not beating its price
Over 18.5 rushing yardsSF @ ATL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET	-114at DraftKings	9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 53% to break even		-6.6Not beating its price
Over 1.5 passing TDsSF @ ATL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET	-148at Kalshi	5 of 6· this season83%needs 60% to break even	Record is this season's	-11.9Not beating its price
Over 4.5 rush attemptsSF @ ATL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET	-107at Kalshi	7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 52% to break even		-12.4Not beating its price
Under 20.5 completionsSF @ ATL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET	-116at Kalshi	7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 54% to break even		-13.5Not beating its price
Over 274.5 passing yardsSF @ ATL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET	+189at Kalshi	5 of 11· last season45%needs 35% to break even	Record is last season's	-14.0Not beating its price
Under 224.5 passing yardsSF @ ATL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET	+129at Kalshi	8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 44% to break even		-14.7Not beating its price
Over 0.5 interceptions thrownSF @ ATL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET	-103at Kalshi	8 of 11· last season73%needs 51% to break even	Record is last season's	-17.0Not beating its price
Under 0.5 interceptions thrownSF @ ATL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET	-121at Kalshi	4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 55% to break even		-22.4Not beating its price
Under 14.5 rushing yardsSF @ ATL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET	+140at Kalshi	4 of 11· last season36%needs 42% to break even	Record is last season's	-25.4Not beating its price
Over 20.5 completionsSF @ ATL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET	-107at Kalshi	6 of 11· last season55%needs 52% to break even	Record is last season's	-26.1Not beating its price
Under 1.5 passing TDsSF @ ATL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET	+109at Kalshi	4 of 11· last season36%needs 48% to break even	Record is last season's	-27.8Not beating its price
Under 4.5 rush attemptsSF @ ATL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET	-131at Kalshi	5 of 11· last season45%needs 57% to break even	Record is last season's	-30.3Not beating its price
Over 30.5 pass attemptsSF @ ATL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET	-137at Kalshi	6 of 11· last season55%needs 58% to break even	Record is last season's	-33.4Not beating its price

Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.

Bets that win together

Teammates' bets that have won much more often in the games Brock Purdy's bet won. Useful when building a parlay from one game; it says nothing about why.

When Purdy went over 20.5 completions,Christian McCaffrey over 15.5 rush attempts won 7 of 8 (88%)against 47% in all 17 games they played together
When Purdy went under 20.5 completions,Christian McCaffrey under 15.5 rush attempts won 8 of 9 (89%)against 53% in all 17 games they played together
When Purdy went over 30.5 pass attempts,Brandin Cooks over 2.5 receptions won 4 of 5 (80%)against 36% in all 11 games they played together
When Purdy went over 274.5 passing yards,George Kittle Anytime TD: Yes won 5 of 5 (100%)against 57% in all 14 games they played together
When Purdy went over 0.5 interceptions thrown,George Kittle under 49.5 receiving yards won 5 of 7 (71%)against 36% in all 14 games they played together
When Purdy went under 1.5 passing tds,Kyle Juszczyk under 1.5 receptions won 4 of 5 (80%)against 43% in all 14 games they played together

Per game

Averages over recent windows. A window reaches back into last season when this season has fewer games.

Window	Games	Snap %	Cmp	Att	Pass yds	Pass TD	INT	Car	Rush yds	Rush TD
Last 5	5	97	18.8	27.4	251	2.2	0.2	5	25.4	0.2
Last 10	10	97	19.5	28.9	229.2	1.9	0.7	5.2	26.6	0.3
This season	6	97.5	19.8	28.5	243.3	2.3	0.3	5	26	0.2
Last season	11	96.8	20.9	31.1	233.5	2	1.2	4.3	18.9	0.3

Snap %: playing time: minutes played (nhl: time on ice, in minutes; nfl: share of the offense's snaps, %) · Cmp: completions · Att: pass attempts · Pass yds: passing yards · Pass TD: passing touchdowns · INT: interceptions thrown · Car: carries (rushing attempts) · Rush yds: rushing yards · Rush TD: rushing touchdowns

Splits

Per-game averages in different kinds of games, this season and last, with the row that matches the next game (vs ATL) marked. Few games in a row means it can swing a lot.

Which games	Played	Snap %	Cmp	Att	Pass yds	Pass TD	INT	Car	Rush yds	Rush TD
Every game	17	97.1	20.5	30.2	237	2.1	0.9	4.5	21.4	0.2
Home	9	98.3	20.7	29.8	254.8	2	0.8	4.8	27	0.3
AwayNext game	8	95.6	20.4	30.6	217	2.3	1	4.3	15.1	0.1

Game log

This season and last, newest first.

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