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Trends
Bets that have kept winning more often than their price says they should, strongest first. A trend ignores the opponent, and short runs can be luck.
| Last 10 games | Details | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Under 5.5 assistsDennis Schröder · ATL @ CHA · Today 7:10 PM ETWhite out: next up at PG |  +129at Kalshi | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 44% to break even | 18.7Very strong | ||
| 2 | Under 34.5 pts + reb + astBrandon Miller · ATL @ CHA · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout White and Knueppel | -126at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 56% to break even | 15.4Very strong | ||
| 3 | Under 24.5 pointsBrandon Miller · ATL @ CHA · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout White and Knueppel | -112at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 53% to break even | 11.5Strong | ||
| 4 | Under 3.5 threesAnthony Edwards · MIN @ ORL · Today 7:10 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 49% to break even | 11.4Strong | ||
| 5 | Over 14.5 pointsJabari Smith Jr. · HOU @ SA · Today 9:40 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 50% to break even | 9.1Strong | ||
| 6 | Over 24.5 pts + reb + astRJ Barrett · TOR @ WSH · Today 7:10 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 64% to break even | 6.7Good | ||
| 7 | Over 3.5 reboundsSaddiq Bey · NO @ UTAH · Today 9:40 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 57 of 72· last season79%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | 4.5Good | |
| 8 | Under 14.5 pointsDennis Schröder · ATL @ CHA · Today 7:10 PM ETWhite out: next up at PG | -142at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 59% to break even | 3.2Good | ||
| 9 | Under 5.5 reboundsJonathan Kuminga · MIN @ ORL · Today 7:10 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 59% to break even | 2.3Slight | ||
| 10 | Over 3.5 reboundsDevin Vassell · HOU @ SA · Today 9:40 PM ETWithout Harris | -103at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 51% to break even | 2.1Slight | ||
| 11 | Under 19.5 pointsNaz Reid · ATL @ CHA · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout White and Knueppel | -199at Kalshi | 77 of 89· last season87%needs 67% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.0Slight | |
| 12 | Under 34.5 pts + reb + astDarius Garland · LAC @ LAL · Today 10:10 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 38 of 46· last season83%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | 0.9Slight | |
| 13 | Over 2.5 blocksVictor Wembanyama · HOU @ SA · Today 9:40 PM ET · 1 more number in DetailsWithout Harris | -161at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 62% to break even | 0.4Slight | ||
| 14 | Under 19.5 pointsKarl-Anthony Towns · NY @ BOS · Today 7:10 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 57% to break even | 0.1Slight | ||
| 15 | Over 1.5 threesSam Hauser · NY @ BOS · Today 7:10 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 57% to break even | -0.2Not beating its price | ||
| 16 | Under 7.5 reboundsJalen Smith · CHI @ MIL · Today 4:10 PM ETClaxton out: next up at C | +105at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 49% to break even | -0.6Not beating its price | ||
| 17 | Under 3.5 assistsBrandon Miller · ATL @ CHA · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout White and Knueppel | -103at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 51% to break even | -0.8Not beating its price | ||
| 18 | Over 2.5 threesDuncan Robinson · DET @ MIA · Today 8:10 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 57 of 90· last season63%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.0Not beating its price | |
| 19 | Over 2.5 threesDesmond Bane · MIN @ ORL · Today 7:10 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 45% to break even | -1.6Not beating its price | ||
| 20 | Under 29.5 pts + reb + astIvica Zubac · DAL @ IND · Today 7:10 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 53% to break even | -1.8Not beating its price | ||
| 21 | Under 5.5 assistsFranz Wagner · MIN @ ORL · Today 7:10 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 32 of 40· last season80%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.3Not beating its price | |
| 22 | Under 3.5 assistsDesmond Bane · MIN @ ORL · Today 7:10 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 57% to break even | -2.5Not beating its price | ||
| 23 | Over 5.5 assistsPaolo Banchero · MIN @ ORL · Today 7:10 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 48% to break even | -2.5Not beating its price | ||
| 24 | Under 1.5 assistsBobby Portis · DET @ MIA · Today 8:10 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 42 of 67· last season63%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.6Not beating its price | |
| 25 | Under 29.5 pts + reb + astJalen Duren · DET @ MIA · Today 8:10 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 55% to break even | -2.6Not beating its price | ||
| 26 | Under 24.5 pointsJayson Tatum · NY @ BOS · Today 7:10 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 16 of 22· last season73%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.7Not beating its price | |
| 27 | Under 11.5 reboundsIvica Zubac · DAL @ IND · Today 7:10 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 53% to break even | -3.1Not beating its price | ||
| 28 | Under 24.5 pts + reb + astDerrick White · NY @ BOS · Today 7:10 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 52% to break even | -3.7Not beating its price | ||
| 29 | Over 9.5 reboundsJayson Tatum · NY @ BOS · Today 7:10 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 14 of 22· last season64%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.7Not beating its price | |
| 30 | Over 5.5 reboundsJabari Smith Jr. · HOU @ SA · Today 9:40 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 55 of 83· last season66%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.1Not beating its price | |
| 31 | Over 1.5 threesBobby Portis · DET @ MIA · Today 8:10 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 43 of 67· last season64%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.4Not beating its price | |
| 32 | Under 19.5 pointsNorman Powell · CHI @ MIL · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | +129at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 44% to break even | -4.8Not beating its price | ||
| 33 | Under 3.5 assistsKarl-Anthony Towns · NY @ BOS · Today 7:10 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 57 of 97· last season59%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.0Not beating its price | |
| 34 | Over 1.5 threesJabari Smith Jr. · HOU @ SA · Today 9:40 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 64% to break even | -5.5Not beating its price | ||
| 35 | Under 19.5 pointsPaul George · NY @ BOS · Today 7:10 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 36 of 49· last season73%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.6Not beating its price | |
| 36 | Under 1.5 assistsMiles McBride · NY @ BOS · Today 7:10 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 42% to break even | -5.9Not beating its price | ||
| 37 | Over 9.5 assistsJosh Giddey · CHI @ MIL · Today 4:10 PM ETDay-to-day | +105at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 49% to break even | -5.9Not beating its price | ||
| 38 | Over 9.5 pointsDavion Mitchell · DET @ MIA · Today 8:10 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 50% to break even | -5.9Not beating its price | ||
| 39 | Over 3.5 assistsKevin Durant · HOU @ SA · Today 9:40 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 57% to break even | -6.0Not beating its price | ||
| 40 | Under 3.5 assistsAnthony Edwards · MIN @ ORL · Today 7:10 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 60% to break even | -6.3Not beating its price | ||
| 41 | Under 9.5 reboundsJalen Duren · DET @ MIA · Today 8:10 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 50% to break even | -6.7Not beating its price | ||
| 42 | Under 7.5 assistsJalen Johnson · ATL @ CHA · Today 7:10 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 62% to break even | -6.9Not beating its price | ||
| 43 | Over 2.5 threesPaul George · NY @ BOS · Today 7:10 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 58% to break even | -7.1Not beating its price | ||
| 44 | Under 7.5 reboundsWendell Carter Jr. · MIN @ ORL · Today 7:10 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 55% to break even | -7.2Not beating its price | ||
| 45 | Under 7.5 reboundsMitchell Robinson · NY @ BOS · Today 7:10 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 61% to break even | -7.2Not beating its price | ||
| 46 | Under 2.5 threesNorman Powell · CHI @ MIL · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | -112at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 53% to break even | -7.5Not beating its price | ||
| 47 | Under 5.5 assistsDomantas Sabonis · POR @ SAC · Today 10:10 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 14 of 19· last season74%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.7Not beating its price | |
| 48 | Over 5.5 reboundsJaden McDaniels · MIN @ ORL · Today 7:10 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 44% to break even | -7.7Not beating its price | ||
| 49 | Over 29.5 pts + reb + astBam Adebayo · DET @ MIA · Today 8:10 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 49 of 74· last season66%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.8Not beating its price | |
| 50 | Under 9.5 assistsCade Cunningham · DET @ MIA · Today 8:10 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 58% to break even | -8.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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Each record replays today's exact bet over that team's or player's recent games; ties don't count. The order rewards high win rates, more games and stretches that agree, and subtracts what the price expects. How trends work