This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 46% to break even | 14%–73% | 6 points shortwon 40%, needs 46% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 46% to break even | 35%–81% | 14 points betterwon 60%, needs 46% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 46% to break even | 52%–87% | 28 points betterwon 73%, needs 46% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 46% to break even | 0%–73% | 46 points shortwon 0%, needs 46% |
| Last season | 43 of 6764%needs 46% to break even | 54%–73% | 19 points betterwon 64%, needs 46% |
Tonight MIA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against DET. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Threes in each game against over 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 threesBobby Portis · Today 8:10 PM ET |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 reboundsBobby Portis · Today 8:10 PM ET |
| Every game |
| 43 of 6863%needs 46% to break even |
| 53%–72% |
| 18 points betterwon 63%, needs 46% |
| Date | Opponent | Threes | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Mar 23 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 6 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 2 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 12 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 6 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| -142at Kalshi |
| 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 59% to break even |
| -35.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +101at Kalshi |
| 42 of 67· last season63%needs 50% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -11.9Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 reboundsBobby Portis · Today 8:10 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 58% to break even | -30.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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