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NBAPlayer propAssists
Franz Wagner under 5.5 assists
Won32 of 40last season · 80%
Best price-168Kalshi
Price needs62.7%wins to break even
Every game33 of 41this season and last
Trend score-3.2Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 63% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 63% to break even | 44%–95% | 17 points betterwon 80%, needs 63% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 63% to break even | 54%–93% | 17 points betterwon 80%, needs 63% |
| Last 15 games | 13 of 1587%needs 63% to break even | 67%–95% | 24 points betterwon 87%, needs 63% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 63% to break even | 27%–100% | 37 points betterwon 100%, needs 63% |
| Last season | 32 of 4080%needs 63% to break even | 68%–88% | 17 points betterwon 80%, needs 63% |
| Every game | 33 of 4180%needs 63% to break even | 69%–89% | 18 points betterwon 80%, needs 63% |
Games like tonight
Tonight ORL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Franz Wagner under 5.5 assists1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Assists in each game against under 5.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Assists | Beat 5.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  ATL | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 27 |  DET | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 25 | DET | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 22 | DET | 1 | +4.5 | Won |
| Apr 19 | DET | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 17 |  CHA | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 15 |  PHI | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 12 |  BOS | 1 | +4.5 | Won |
| Apr 10 |  CHI | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 8 |  MIN | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Apr 5 |  NO | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Apr 3 |  DAL | 1 | +4.5 | Won |
| Apr 1 | ATL | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Feb 11 |  MIL | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 9 | MIL | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 18 |  MEM | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 15 | MEM | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 |  NY | 1 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 5 |  MIA | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 3 |  SA | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 1 | CHI | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | DET | 1 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 25 | PHI | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | BOS | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | NY | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 20 |  LAC | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 18 |  GS | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 |  HOU | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 14 |  BKN | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 | NY | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 10 |  POR | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | BOS | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 7 | BOS | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 4 | ATL | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 |  WSH | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 30 | CHA | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 29 | DET | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 27 | PHI | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | CHI | 1 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | ATL | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 22 | MIA | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 assistsFranz Wagner · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET |  +124at Kalshi | 8 of 40· last season20%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Franz Wagner in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 threesFranz Wagner · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 60% to break even | -10.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 1.5 threesFranz Wagner · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 15 of 40· last season38%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.