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NBAPlayer propRebounds
Jalen Smith under 7.5 rebounds
Won8 of 10last 10 games · 80%
Best price+105Kalshi
Price needs48.8%wins to break even
Every game31 of 54this season and last
Trend score-0.6Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 49% to break even | 44%–95% | 31 points betterwon 80%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 49% to break even | 54%–93% | 31 points betterwon 80%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 49% to break even | 46%–83% | 18 points betterwon 67%, needs 49% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 49% to break even | 0%–73% | 49 points shortwon 0%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 31 of 5358%needs 49% to break even | 47%–69% | 10 points betterwon 58%, needs 49% |
| Every game | 31 of 5457%needs 49% to break even | 46%–68% | 9 points betterwon 57%, needs 49% |
Games like tonight
Tonight CHI plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Jalen Smith under 7.5 rebounds1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rebounds in each game against under 7.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rebounds | Beat 7.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  TOR | 8 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Mar 25 |  PHI | 1 | +6.5 | Won |
| Mar 23 |  HOU | 6 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 18 | TOR | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 16 |  MEM | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 12 |  LAL | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 10 |  GS | 12 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 |  SAC | 3 | +4.5 | Won |
| Feb 22 |  NY | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 21 |  DET | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 19 | TOR | 10 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 5 | TOR | 9 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 3 |  MIL | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 29 |  MIA | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 28 |  IND | 11 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 26 | LAL | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 24 |  BOS | 9 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 22 |  MIN | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 20 |  LAC | 9 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 18 |  BKN | 10 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 16 | BKN | 13 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Jan 14 |  UTAH | 10 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 13 | HOU | 9 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 10 |  DAL | 9 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 3 |  CHA | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 2 |  ORL | 10 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 31 |  NO | 14 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Dec 29 | MIN | 6 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 | MIL | 10 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 26 | PHI | 8 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 23 |  ATL | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | ATL | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 19 |  CLE | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 17 | CLE | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | NO | 0 | +7.5 | Won |
| Dec 12 | CHA | 10 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | CHA | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 24 | NO | 6 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 |  WSH | 9 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 21 | MIA | 2 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 19 |  POR | 1 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 17 |  DEN | 8 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | UTAH | 8 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 12 | DET | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 10 |  SA | 12 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | CLE | 11 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | MIL | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 4 | PHI | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | NY | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 31 | NY | 9 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 | SAC | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 27 | ATL | 3 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | ORL | 3 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 22 | DET | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 reboundsJalen Smith · Today 4:10 PM ETClaxton out: next up at C |  -142at Kalshi | 22 of 53· last season42%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -39.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Jalen Smith in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 14.5 pointsJalen Smith · Today 4:10 PM ETClaxton out: next up at C | -199at Kalshi | 46 of 53· last season87%needs 67% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 1.5 threesJalen Smith · Today 4:10 PM ETClaxton out: next up at C | +105at Kalshi | 28 of 53· last season53%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 14.5 pointsJalen Smith · Today 4:10 PM ETClaxton out: next up at C | +152at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 40% to break even | -25.6Not beating its price | ||
| Under 1.5 threesJalen Smith · Today 4:10 PM ETClaxton out: next up at C | -142at Kalshi | 25 of 53· last season47%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.