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NBAPlayer propAssists
Domantas Sabonis under 5.5 assists
Won14 of 19last season · 74%
Best price-103Kalshi
Price needs50.7%wins to break even
Every game14 of 20this season and last
Trend score-7.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 51% to break even | 14%–73% | 11 points shortwon 40%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 51% to break even | 35%–81% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 51% to break even | 52%–87% | 23 points betterwon 73%, needs 51% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 51% to break even | 0%–73% | 51 points shortwon 0%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 14 of 1974%needs 51% to break even | 55%–87% | 23 points betterwon 74%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 14 of 2070%needs 51% to break even | 52%–84% | 19 points betterwon 70%, needs 51% |
Games like tonight
Tonight SAC plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against POR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Domantas Sabonis under 5.5 assists1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Assists in each game against under 5.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Assists | Beat 5.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  LAC | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Feb 4 |  MEM | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 29 |  PHI | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 27 |  NY | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 25 |  DET | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 23 |  CLE | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 20 |  MIA | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 18 |  POR | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 16 |  WSH | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 |  SA | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 14 |  MIN | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 |  ATL | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 11 |  DEN | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | MIN | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 3 | DEN | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 |  MIL | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 |  CHI | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 28 |  OKC | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 |  LAL | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 |  UTAH | 1 | +4.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 assistsDomantas Sabonis · Today 10:10 PM ET |  -116at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 54% to break even | -29.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.