This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 44% to break even | 44%–95% | 36 points betterwon 80%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 44% to break even | 65%–98% | 46 points betterwon 90%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 14 of 1593%needs 44% to break even | 75%–98% | 50 points betterwon 93%, needs 44% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 44% to break even | 0%–73% | 44 points shortwon 0%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 61 of 8770%needs 44% to break even | 62%–77% | 26 points betterwon 70%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 61 of 8869%needs 44% to break even | 61%–77% | 26 points betterwon 69%, needs 44% |
Tonight CHA plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Assists in each game against under 5.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Assists | Beat 5.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 23 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 21 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 19 | 5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 15 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 13 | 5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 11 | 0 | +5.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 7 | 5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 5 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 1 | +4.5 | Won | |
| May 1 | 1 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 29 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 0 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Apr 23 | 0 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Apr 20 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 11 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 1 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 9 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | 9 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | 5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 9 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 10 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 9 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 8 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 9 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 12 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 assistsDennis Schröder · Today 7:10 PM ETWhite out: next up at PG | -154at Kalshi | 26 of 87· last season30%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -50.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 14.5 pointsDennis Schröder · Today 7:10 PM ETWhite out: next up at PG | -142at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 59% to break even | 3.2Good | ||
| Over 3.5 reboundsDennis Schröder · Today 7:10 PM ETWhite out: next up at PG | +189at Kalshi | 22 of 87· last season25%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 14.5 pointsDennis Schröder · Today 7:10 PM ETWhite out: next up at PG | +119at Kalshi | 22 of 87· last season25%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -36.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.