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NBAPlayer propAssists
Kevin Durant over 3.5 assists
Won12 of 15last 15 games · 80%
Best price-137Kalshi
Price needs57.8%wins to break even
Every game50 of 83this season and last
Trend score-7.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 58% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 58% to break even | 27%–86% | 2 points betterwon 60%, needs 58% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 58% to break even | 54%–93% | 22 points betterwon 80%, needs 58% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 58% to break even | 59%–92% | 22 points betterwon 80%, needs 58% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 58% to break even | 0%–73% | 58 points shortwon 0%, needs 58% |
| Last season | 50 of 8261%needs 58% to break even | 52%–69% | 3 points betterwon 61%, needs 58% |
| Every game | 50 of 8360%needs 58% to break even | 51%–69% | 2 points betterwon 60%, needs 58% |
Games like tonight
Tonight HOU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against SA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Kevin Durant over 3.5 assists1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Assists in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Assists | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  DAL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 21 |  LAL | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 10 |  MIN | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Apr 9 |  PHI | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 7 |  PHX | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 5 |  GS | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Apr 3 |  UTAH | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 1 |  MIL | 9 | +5.5 | Won |
| Mar 31 |  NY | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 29 |  NO | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 27 |  MEM | 10 | +6.5 | Won |
| Mar 25 | MIN | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 23 |  CHI | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 |  MIA | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 20 |  ATL | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 18 | LAL | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 16 | LAL | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 13 | NO | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 11 |  DEN | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 10 |  TOR | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 |  SA | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 6 |  POR | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 5 | GS | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 2 |  WSH | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 28 | MIA | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Feb 26 |  ORL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 25 |  SAC | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 23 | UTAH | 12 | +8.5 | Won |
| Feb 21 | NY | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 19 |  CHA | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 15 | STARS | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Feb 15 | WORLD | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 15 | STARS | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 |  LAC | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 10 | LAC | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 7 |  OKC | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 5 | CHA | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 4 |  BOS | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 31 | DAL | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 29 | ATL | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 28 | SA | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 26 | MEM | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 23 |  DET | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 22 | PHI | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 20 | SA | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 18 | NO | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 16 | MIN | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 15 | OKC | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 13 | CHI | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 11 | SAC | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 9 | POR | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 7 | POR | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 5 | PHX | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | DAL | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 1 |  BKN | 11 | +7.5 | Won |
| Dec 29 |  IND | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 |  CLE | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 25 | LAL | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 | LAC | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 | SAC | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 20 | DEN | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 18 | NO | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 15 | DEN | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 11 | LAC | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | DAL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 5 | PHX | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 3 | SAC | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 1 | UTAH | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | UTAH | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 21 | DEN | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 19 | CLE | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | ORL | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 14 | POR | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 12 | WSH | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | MIL | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 7 | SA | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 5 | MEM | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 3 | DAL | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | BOS | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 | TOR | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 27 | BKN | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | DET | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 21 | OKC | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 assistsKevin Durant · Today 9:40 PM ET |  +105at Kalshi | 32 of 82· last season39%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Kevin Durant in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.