This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 50% to break even | 44%–95% | 30 points betterwon 80%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 50% to break even | 44%–87% | 20 points betterwon 70%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 50% to break even | 59%–92% | 30 points betterwon 80%, needs 50% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 50% to break even | 27%–100% | 50 points betterwon 100%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 57 of 7279%needs 50% to break even | 70%–86% | 29 points betterwon 79%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 58 of 7379%needs 50% to break even | 71%–86% | 30 points betterwon 79%, needs 50% |
Tonight NO plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against UTAH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rebounds in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rebounds | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 5 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 10 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 9 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 6 | 9 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 8 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 13 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 10 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 9 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | 8 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 8 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 11 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 10 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 13 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 11 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 9 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 reboundsSaddiq Bey · Today 9:40 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 15 of 72· last season21%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -41.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.