This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 42% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 42% to break even | 44%–95% | 38 points betterwon 80%, needs 42% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 42% to break even | 35%–81% | 18 points betterwon 60%, needs 42% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 42% to break even | 39%–78% | 18 points betterwon 60%, needs 42% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 42% to break even | 27%–100% | 58 points betterwon 100%, needs 42% |
| Last season | 20 of 6033%needs 42% to break even | 24%–44% | 8 points shortwon 33%, needs 42% |
| Every game | 21 of 6134%needs 42% to break even | 25%–45% | 7 points shortwon 34%, needs 42% |
Tonight NY plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against BOS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Assists in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Assists | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jun 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 10 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 8 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 5 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 3 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 25 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 23 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 21 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 8 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 6 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 4 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 30 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 20 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 6 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 6 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 6 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 assistsMiles McBride · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 40 of 60· last season67%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.