This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 44% to break even | 44%–95% | 36 points betterwon 80%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 44% to break even | 44%–87% | 26 points betterwon 70%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 44% to break even | 39%–78% | 16 points betterwon 60%, needs 44% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 44% to break even | 27%–100% | 56 points betterwon 100%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 22 of 6136%needs 44% to break even | 27%–47% | 8 points shortwon 36%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 23 of 6237%needs 44% to break even | 28%–48% | 7 points shortwon 37%, needs 44% |
Tonight CHI plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against under 19.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 19.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 15 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 14 | 11 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 25 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 7 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 14 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 15 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 19 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 21 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 20 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 17 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 20 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 3 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 26 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 25 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 15 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 15 | STRIPES | 5 | +14.5 | Won |
| Feb 15 | STARS | 0 | +19.5 | Won |
| Feb 8 | 21 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | 24 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 21 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 22 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 16 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 13 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 18 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 22 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 21 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 19 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 26 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 27 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 6 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 21 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 34 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 21 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 36 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 25 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 23 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 25 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 17 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 22 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 18 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 24 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | 20 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 9 | 21 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 18 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 28 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 30 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 28 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 11 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 32 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 19 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 25 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 19 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 38 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 27 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 33 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 22 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 25 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 23 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 21 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 29 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 15 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 28 | -8.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 pointsNorman Powell · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | -158at Polymarket | 39 of 61· last season64%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 29.5 pts + reb + astNorman Powell · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | -199at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 67% to break even | -0.2Not beating its price | ||
| Under 2.5 threesNorman Powell · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | -126at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 56% to break even | -10.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 29.5 pts + reb + astNorman Powell · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | +146at Kalshi | 23 of 61· last season38%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 2.5 threesNorman Powell · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | -103at Kalshi | 27 of 61· last season44%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.