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Trends
Bets that have kept winning more often than their price says they should, strongest first. A trend ignores the opponent, and short runs can be luck.
| Last 10 games | Details | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Under 2.5 receptionsTez Johnson · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETEgbuka questionable: next up at WR |  -183at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 65% to break even | -1.8Not beating its price | ||
| 2 | Under 17.5 rush attemptsChuba Hubbard · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 16 of 16· last season100%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.1Not beating its price | |
| 3 | Under 45.5 game total, TB gamesTampa Bay Buccaneers · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 8 more numbers in Details | -121at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 55% to break even | -3.3Not beating its price | ||
| 4 | Under 70.5 rushing yardsChuba Hubbard · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details |  -112at DraftKings | 14 of 16· last season88%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.8Not beating its price | |
| 5 | Over 1.5 receptionsJohn Metchie III · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 50% to break even | -3.9Not beating its price | ||
| 6 | Under 40.5 game total, CAR gamesCarolina Panthers · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 8 more numbers in Details |  +149at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 40% to break even | -5.3Not beating its price | ||
| 7 | Under 39.5 receiving yardsCade Otton · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 55% to break even | -5.8Not beating its price | ||
| 8 | Under 219.5 passing yardsBaker Mayfield · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 3 more numbers in DetailsListed questionable |  -114at BetRivers | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 53% to break even | -6.2Not beating its price | ||
| 9 | Under 24.5 receiving yardsTez Johnson · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETEgbuka questionable: next up at WR | -107at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 52% to break even | -6.5Not beating its price | ||
| 10 | Under 14.5 receiving yardsChuba Hubbard · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -114at DraftKings | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 53% to break even | -6.8Not beating its price | ||
| 11 | Under 39.5 receiving yardsChris Godwin Jr. · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 52% to break even | -7.7Not beating its price | ||
| 12 | Under 4.5 receptionsChris Godwin Jr. · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 57% to break even | -8.3Not beating its price | ||
| 13 | Under 10.5 rushing yardsBryce Young · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details |  -114at FanDuel | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 53% to break even | -8.3Not beating its price | ||
| 14 | Under 21.5 completionsBryce Young · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 14 of 17· last season82%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.7Not beating its price | |
| 15 | Under 5.5 receptionsTetairoa McMillan · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  -135at BetMGM | 13 of 18· last season72%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.6Not beating its price | |
| 16 | Over 21.5 receiving yardsDarren Waller · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | -111at DraftKings | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even | -9.8Not beating its price | ||
| 17 | Under 2.5 receptionsChuba Hubbard · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  -130at BetOnline | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 57% to break even | -9.9Not beating its price | ||
| 18 | Under 20.5 team totalTampa Bay Buccaneers · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -103at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 51% to break even | -9.9Not beating its price | ||
| 19 | Under 4.5 receptionsCade Otton · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -183at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 65% to break even | -10.1Not beating its price | ||
| 20 | CAR -3.5 2nd half spreadCarolina Panthers · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +140at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 42% to break even | -10.5Not beating its price | ||
| 21 | Under 67.5 receiving yardsJalen Coker · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | -111at DraftKings | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.9Not beating its price | |
| 22 | TB +0.5 3rd quarter spreadTampa Bay Buccaneers · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.1Not beating its price | |
| 23 | Over 10.5 2nd quarter totalCarolina Panthers · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -154at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 61% to break even | -11.9Not beating its price | ||
| 24 | Under 68.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 2 more numbers in DetailsListed questionable | -117at BetRivers | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 54% to break even | -12.0Not beating its price | ||
| 25 | Over 2.5 receptionsDarren Waller · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 7 of 14· last 15 games, 1 skipped50%needs 43% to break even | -12.2Not beating its price | ||
| 26 | Doesn't score a TDTetairoa McMillan · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 65% to break even | -12.4Not beating its price | ||
| 27 | Over 274.5 passing yardsBryce Young · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 4 more numbers in Details | +140at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 42% to break even | -13.0Not beating its price | ||
| 28 | Over 2.5 receptionsKenny Gainwell · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETIrving questionable: next up at RB | +101at Kalshi | 13 of 18· last season72%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.2Not beating its price | |
| 29 | Under 10.5 1st half team totalCarolina Panthers · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | -116at Kalshi | 14 of 18· last season78%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.3Not beating its price | |
| 30 | Doesn't score a TDBucky Irving · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -148at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 60% to break even | -13.3Not beating its price | ||
| 31 | Over 24.5 2nd half totalCarolina Panthers · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | +146at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 41% to break even | -14.4Not beating its price | ||
| 32 | CAR -0.5 3rd quarter spreadCarolina Panthers · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 48% to break even | -14.4Not beating its price | ||
| 33 | Over 67.5 receiving yardsTetairoa McMillan · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | -117at BetRivers | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 54% to break even | -14.7Not beating its price | ||
| 34 | Doesn't score a TDChuba Hubbard · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.8Not beating its price | |
| 35 | TB +6.5 spreadTampa Bay Buccaneers · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 8 more numbers in Details | -195at Polymarket | 14 of 17· last season82%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.8Not beating its price | |
| 36 | Under 21.5 team totalCarolina Panthers · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | +134at Kalshi | 10 of 18· last season56%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.3Not beating its price | |
| 37 | TB +3.5 1st half spreadTampa Bay Buccaneers · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 4 more numbers in Details | -168at Kalshi | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.3Not beating its price | |
| 38 | Over 16.5 rushing yardsBaker Mayfield · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -112at DraftKings | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even | -15.7Not beating its price | ||
| 39 | Under 29.5 rush + rec yardsKenny Gainwell · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETIrving questionable: next up at RB | -131at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 57% to break even | Record is this season's | -15.8Not beating its price | |
| 40 | Over 0.5 interceptions thrownBryce Young · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.1Not beating its price | |
| 41 | Under 16.5 receiving yardsTommy Tremble · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -110at BetRivers | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.1Not beating its price | |
| 42 | Under 5.5 receptionsJalen Coker · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.9Not beating its price | |
| 43 | Over 24.5 team totalCarolina Panthers · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | +105at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 49% to break even | -17.4Not beating its price | ||
| 44 | Under 20.5 1st half totalCarolina Panthers · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | +109at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 48% to break even | -17.8Not beating its price | ||
| 45 | Under 249.5 passing yardsBryce Young · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 4 more numbers in Details | +101at Kalshi | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.9Not beating its price | |
| 46 | Over 7.5 1st quarter totalCarolina Panthers · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 49% to break even | -18.1Not beating its price | ||
| 47 | Over 22.5 1st half totalCarolina Panthers · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | -105at Polymarket | 9 of 18· last season50%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.5Not beating its price | |
| 48 | Over 48.5 game total, CAR gamesCarolina Panthers · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 7 more numbers in Details | +143at Polymarket | 8 of 18· last season44%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.5Not beating its price | |
| 49 | Under 1.5 passing TDsBryce Young · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.7Not beating its price | |
| 50 | Over 5.5 receptionsJalen Coker · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +106at DraftKings | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 49% to break even | -18.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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Each record replays today's exact bet over that team's or player's recent games; ties don't count. The order rewards high win rates, more games and stretches that agree, and subtracts what the price expects. How trends work