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NFLGame line1st half total
Over 22.5 (1st half total)
Won9 of 18last season · 50%
Best price-105Polymarket
Price needs51.2%wins to break even
Every game12 of 23this season and last
Trend score-18.5Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 51% to break even | 27%–86% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 51% to break even | 27%–73% | 1 points shortwon 50%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 51% to break even | 28%–67% | 5 points shortwon 47%, needs 51% |
| This season | 3 of 560%needs 51% to break even | 27%–86% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 9 of 1850%needs 51% to break even | 32%–68% | 1 points shortwon 50%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 12 of 2352%needs 51% to break even | 36%–68% | 1 points betterwon 52%, needs 51% |
Games like tonight
Tonight CAR plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Over 22.5 (1st half total)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1H total points in each game against over 22.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H total points | Beat 22.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  PHI | 17 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  DET | 32 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  CLE | 13 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  ATL | 23 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  CHI | 55 | +32.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 10 |  LAR | 31 | +8.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 |  TB | 20 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 28 |  SEA | 6 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 | TB | 23 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 |  NO | 17 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | LAR | 38 | +15.5 | Won |
| Nov 24 |  SF | 13 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | ATL | 31 | +8.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | NO | 17 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 |  GB | 13 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 |  BUF | 22 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 |  NYJ | 13 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 |  DAL | 30 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 |  MIA | 27 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 |  NE | 34 | +11.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | ATL | 10 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 |  ARI | 23 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 |  JAX | 23 | +0.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 17.5 1st half totalCarolina Panthers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  +166at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 38% to break even | -13.2Not beating its price | ||
| Under 20.5 1st half totalCarolina Panthers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 48% to break even | -17.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 21.5 1st half totalCarolina Panthers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 52% to break even | -20.9Not beating its price | ||
| Under 22.5 1st half totalCarolina Panthers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  -119at Polymarket | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 54% to break even | -21.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Carolina Panthers in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.