This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 52% to break even | 14%–73% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 52% to break even | 27%–73% | 2 points shortwon 50%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 52% to break even | 39%–78% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% |
| This season | 2 of 540%needs 52% to break even | 14%–73% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 10 of 1663%needs 52% to break even | 42%–79% | 10 points betterwon 63%, needs 52% |
| Every game |
Tonight CAR plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against under 16.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 16.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 46 | -29.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 15.5 receiving yardsTommy Tremble |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 receptionsTommy Tremble |
| 40%–73% |
| 5 points betterwon 57%, needs 52% |
| Wk 4 |
| 12 |
| +4.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 3 | 41 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 4 | +12.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 25 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 | 22 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 18 | 38 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 | 6 | +10.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | 6 | +10.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 13 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | 2 | +14.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | 54 | -37.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 0 | +16.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 | 4 | +12.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 0 | +16.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | 39 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | 7 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 42 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 16 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 20 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 2 | +14.5 | Won |
| -117at DraftKings |
| 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 54% to break even |
| -23.0Not beating its price |
| Over 16.5 receiving yardsTommy Tremble · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even | -23.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +152at Kalshi |
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 40% to break even |
| -9.8Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 receptionsTommy Tremble · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +152at FanDuel | 9 of 16· last season56%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.9Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 receptionsTommy Tremble · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 66% to break even | -25.4Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 receptionsTommy Tremble · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -179at BetOnline | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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