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NFLGame line1st half spread
TB 1H +3.5 (1st half spread)
Won12 of 17last season · 71%
Best price-172Polymarket
Price needs63.2%wins to break even
Every game16 of 23this season and last
Trend score-15.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 63% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 63% to break even | 44%–95% | 17 points betterwon 80%, needs 63% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 63% to break even | 44%–87% | 7 points betterwon 70%, needs 63% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 63% to break even | 46%–83% | 3 points betterwon 67%, needs 63% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 63% to break even | 35%–88% | 3 points betterwon 67%, needs 63% |
| Last season | 12 of 1771%needs 63% to break even | 51%–85% | 7 points betterwon 71%, needs 63% |
| Every game | 16 of 2370%needs 63% to break even | 52%–83% | 6 points betterwon 70%, needs 63% |
Games like tonight
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against CAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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TB 1H +3.5 (1st half spread)2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1H margin in each game against tb 1h +3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat -3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  PIT | 10 | +13.5 | Won |
| Oct 8 |  DAL | -3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  GB | -3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  MIN | -7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  CLE | 3 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  CIN | -14 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 3 |  CAR | 6 | +9.5 | Won |
| Dec 28 |  MIA | -10 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 | CAR | -3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 11 |  ATL | -1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 |  NO | 3 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 |  ARI | 7 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 |  LAR | -24 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 |  BUF | -1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 |  NE | -4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | NO | 4 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 20 |  DET | -11 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 |  SF | 4 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 |  SEA | 6 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 |  PHI | -18 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 |  NYJ | 14 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 15 |  HOU | 4 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | ATL | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Tampa Bay Buccaneers in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.