This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 54% to break even | 27%–86% | 6 points betterwon 60%, needs 54% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 54% to break even | 35%–81% | 6 points betterwon 60%, needs 54% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 54% to break even | 46%–83% | 13 points betterwon 67%, needs 54% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 54% to break even | 35%–88% | 13 points betterwon 67%, needs 54% |
| Last season | 7 of 1070%needs 54% to break even | 44%–87% |
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against CAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rushing yards in each game against under 68.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 64.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doesn't score a TDBucky Irving · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
| Every game | 11 of 1669%needs 54% to break even | 48%–84% | 15 points betterwon 69%, needs 54% |
| 61 |
| +7.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 3 | 46 | +22.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 89 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 45 | +23.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 85 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 19 | +49.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | 71 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | 60 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 | 55 | +13.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | 61 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 63 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 66 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 71 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 37 | +31.5 | Won |
| -110at DraftKings |
| 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 52% to break even |
| -26.4Not beating its price |
| Over 65.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -112at BetOnline | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 53% to break even | -26.8Not beating its price |
| Over 68.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -114at BetRivers | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 53% to break even | -29.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -148at Kalshi |
| 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 60% to break even |
| -13.3Not beating its price |
| Scores a TDBucky Irving · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | +119at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last season40%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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