This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 50% to break even | 14%–73% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 50% to break even | 27%–73% | evenwon 50%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 50% to break even | 33%–72% | 4 points betterwon 53%, needs 50% |
| This season | 2 of 540%needs 50% to break even | 14%–73% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 10 of 1759%needs 50% to break even | 39%–76% | 9 points betterwon 59%, needs 50% |
| Every game |
Tonight CAR plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Interceptions thrown in each game against over 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Interceptions thrown | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 0 | -0.5 | ||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 interceptions thrownBryce Young |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 224.5 passing yardsBryce Young |
| 12 of 2255%needs 50% to break even |
| 38%–71% |
| 5 points betterwon 55%, needs 50% |
| Lost |
| Wk 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| -121at Kalshi |
| 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 55% to break even |
| -23.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +166at Kalshi |
| 13 of 17· last season76%needs 38% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -8.0Not beating its price |
| Under 10.5 rushing yardsBryce Young · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 53% to break even | -8.3Not beating its price |
| Under 21.5 completionsBryce Young · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 14 of 17· last season82%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.7Not beating its price |
| Under 11.5 rushing yardsBryce Young · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -118at DraftKings | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 54% to break even | -9.0Not beating its price |
| Over 274.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 43% to break even | -13.9Not beating its price |
| Over 253.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -111at DraftKings | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 53% to break even | -14.4Not beating its price |
| Over 256.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 53% to break even | -15.1Not beating its price |
| Over 250.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -120at Fanatics | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 55% to break even | -15.9Not beating its price |
| Under 249.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.9Not beating its price |
| Over 249.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 58% to break even | -18.6Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 passing TDsBryce Young · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.7Not beating its price |
| Under 274.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 15 of 17· last season88%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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