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NFLPlayer propReceptions
Chris Godwin Jr. under 4.5 receptions
Won11 of 15last 15 games · 73%
Best price-131Kalshi
Price needs56.7%wins to break even
Every game11 of 15this season and last
Trend score-8.3Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 57% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 57% to break even | 44%–95% | 23 points betterwon 80%, needs 57% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 57% to break even | 44%–87% | 13 points betterwon 70%, needs 57% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 57% to break even | 52%–87% | 17 points betterwon 73%, needs 57% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 57% to break even | 50%–96% | 27 points betterwon 83%, needs 57% |
| Last season | 6 of 967%needs 57% to break even | 40%–86% | 10 points betterwon 67%, needs 57% |
| Every game | 11 of 1573%needs 57% to break even | 52%–87% | 17 points betterwon 73%, needs 57% |
Games like tonight
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against CAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Chris Godwin Jr. under 4.5 receptions1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receptions in each game against under 4.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4.5 receptionsChris Godwin Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  +105at Kalshi | 3 of 9· last season33%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Chris Godwin Jr. in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 39.5 receiving yardsChris Godwin Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 52% to break even | -7.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 39.5 receiving yardsChris Godwin Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 55% to break even | -31.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.