This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 60% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 60% to break even | 44%–95% | 20 points betterwon 80%, needs 60% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 60% to break even | 54%–93% | 20 points betterwon 80%, needs 60% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 60% to break even | 46%–83% | 7 points betterwon 67%, needs 60% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 60% to break even | 35%–88% | 7 points betterwon 67%, needs 60% |
| Last season | 6 of 1060%needs 60% to break even | 35%–81% |
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against CAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Anytime TD in each game against no, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores a TDBucky Irving · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 68.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving |
| Every game | 10 of 1663%needs 60% to break even | 42%–79% | 3 points betterwon 63%, needs 60% |
| 0 |
| +0.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| +119at Kalshi |
| 4 of 10· last season40%needs 46% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -25.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -117at BetRivers |
| 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 54% to break even |
| -12.0Not beating its price |
| Under 64.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -114at DraftKings | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 53% to break even | -14.1Not beating its price |
| Under 65.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -114at FanDuel | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 53% to break even | -14.1Not beating its price |
| Over 64.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -110at DraftKings | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 52% to break even | -26.4Not beating its price |
| Over 65.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -112at BetOnline | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 53% to break even | -26.8Not beating its price |
| Over 68.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -114at BetRivers | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 53% to break even | -29.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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