Bets that have kept winning more often than their price says they should, strongest first. A trend ignores the opponent, and short runs can be luck.
| Last 10 games | Details | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA +0.5 3rd quarter spreadSeattle Seahawks · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | -199at Kalshi | ||||
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Each record replays today's exact bet over that team's or player's recent games; ties don't count. The order rewards high win rates, more games and stretches that agree, and subtracts what the price expects. How trends work
| 3.9Good |
| 2 | Over 24.5 team totalSeattle Seahawks · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | +140at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 42% to break even | 3.3Good |
| 3 | SEA -2.5 2nd half spreadSeattle Seahawks · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 48% to break even | 1.7Slight |
| 4 | Over 239.5 passing yardsPatrick Mahomes · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 10 more numbers in Details | +140at Bovada | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 42% to break even | 0.6Slight |
| 5 | KC +3.5 1st half spreadKansas City Chiefs · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 5 more numbers in Details | -172at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 63% to break even | -1.8Not beating its price |
| 6 | SEA -2.5 4th quarter spreadSeattle Seahawks · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | +129at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 44% to break even | -3.2Not beating its price |
| 7 | Under 3.5 receptionsKenneth Walker III · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -160at FanDuel | 18 of 20· last season90%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.7Not beating its price |
| 8 | Under 41.5 game total, KC gamesKansas City Chiefs · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 7 more numbers in Details | +109at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 48% to break even | -4.5Not beating its price |
| 9 | KC +3.5 spreadKansas City Chiefs · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 6 more numbers in Details | -145at Polymarket | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 59% to break even | -5.8Not beating its price |
| 10 | Over 101.5 receiving yardsJaxon Smith-Njigba · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 7 more numbers in Details | +125at Bovada | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 44% to break even | Record is this season's | -6.1Not beating its price |
| 11 | Over 14.5 rushing yardsPatrick Mahomes · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | -112at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 53% to break even | -6.5Not beating its price |
| 12 | SEA -0.5 1st quarter spreadSeattle Seahawks · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +124at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 45% to break even | -7.5Not beating its price |
| 13 | Over 20.5 team totalKansas City Chiefs · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | -105at Polymarket | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 51% to break even | -8.3Not beating its price |
| 14 | Under 203.5 passing yardsSam Darnold · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 8 more numbers in Details | +145at Bovada | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 41% to break even | -8.3Not beating its price |
| 15 | KC +2.5 2nd half spreadKansas City Chiefs · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 61% to break even | -8.5Not beating its price |
| 16 | Over 1.5 passing TDsPatrick Mahomes · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 41% to break even | -9.2Not beating its price |
| 17 | Over 95.5 rushing yardsKenneth Walker III · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 8 more numbers in Details | +135at Bovada | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 43% to break even | -9.2Not beating its price |
| 18 | SEA +2.5 spreadSeattle Seahawks · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 6 more numbers in Details | -183at Kalshi | 18 of 20· last season90%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.3Not beating its price |
| 19 | Doesn't score a TDEmanuel Wilson · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 16 of 18· last season89%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.6Not beating its price |
| 20 | Under 24.5 receiving yardsAJ Barner · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -112at BetOnline | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 53% to break even | -9.9Not beating its price |
| 21 | KC -0.5 4th quarter spreadKansas City Chiefs · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | +134at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 43% to break even | -10.1Not beating its price |
| 22 | Over 7.5 receptionsJaxon Smith-Njigba · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +129at Kalshi | 11 of 20· last season55%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.4Not beating its price |
| 23 | KC +0.5 1st quarter spreadKansas City Chiefs · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -154at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 61% to break even | -10.5Not beating its price |
| 24 | Scores a TDJaxon Smith-Njigba · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 46% to break even | -10.7Not beating its price |
| 25 | Over 21.5 2nd half totalSeattle Seahawks · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | +101at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 50% to break even | -11.1Not beating its price |
| 26 | Over 109.5 rush + rec yardsKenneth Walker III · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 53% to break even | -11.5Not beating its price |
| 27 | Over 4.5 rushing yardsSam Darnold · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -114at FanDuel | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 53% to break even | -11.5Not beating its price |
| 28 | Under 30.5 pass attemptsSam Darnold · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 12 of 20· last season60%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.4Not beating its price |
| 29 | Over 45.5 game total, SEA gamesSeattle Seahawks · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 7 more numbers in Details | +129at Kalshi | 11 of 20· last season55%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.5Not beating its price |
| 30 | Over 24.5 receiving yardsCooper Kupp · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 14 of 19· last season74%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.5Not beating its price |
| 31 | Over 0.5 interceptions thrownPatrick Mahomes · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 55% to break even | -12.6Not beating its price |
| 32 | Under 1.5 receptionsNoah Gray · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ETKelce questionable: next up at TE | +129at Kalshi | 8 of 14· last season57%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.7Not beating its price |
| 33 | Under 5.5 rushing yardsSam Darnold · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -116at DraftKings | 13 of 20· last season65%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.8Not beating its price |
| 34 | Under 14.5 receiving yardsKenneth Walker III · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | +140at Kalshi | 10 of 20· last season50%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.2Not beating its price |
| 35 | Under 75.5 rushing yardsKenneth Walker III · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 9 more numbers in Details | +140at Bovada | 13 of 20· last season65%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.4Not beating its price |
| 36 | Over 20.5 completionsPatrick Mahomes · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.5Not beating its price |
| 37 | Under 19.5 1st half totalSeattle Seahawks · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | +126at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 44% to break even | -13.6Not beating its price |
| 38 | Over 3.5 rush attemptsPatrick Mahomes · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.8Not beating its price |
| 39 | Over 46.5 receiving yardsTravis Kelce · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 3 more numbers in DetailsListed questionable | -112at BetOnline | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even | -14.1Not beating its price |
| 40 | Under 3.5 receptionsAJ Barner · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -220at Fanatics | 15 of 20· last season75%needs 69% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.1Not beating its price |
| 41 | Under 4.5 receptionsTravis Kelce · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ETListed questionable | -135at BetMGM | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 57% to break even | -14.5Not beating its price |
| 42 | Under 2.5 receptionsRashid Shaheed · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -134at DraftKings | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 57% to break even | -14.6Not beating its price |
| 43 | Over 7.5 3rd quarter totalSeattle Seahawks · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even | -14.6Not beating its price |
| 44 | Over 31.5 pass attemptsPatrick Mahomes · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 11 of 14· last season79%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.7Not beating its price |
| 45 | Under 19.5 completionsSam Darnold · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 11 of 20· last season55%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.9Not beating its price |
| 46 | Doesn't score a TDKenneth Walker III · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 14 of 20· last season70%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.5Not beating its price |
| 47 | Under 9.5 1st half team totalSeattle Seahawks · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +140at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 42% to break even | -15.5Not beating its price |
| 48 | Over 1.5 receptionsTory Horton · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 43% to break even | -15.5Not beating its price |
| 49 | Over 243.5 passing yardsSam Darnold · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 8 more numbers in Details | +140at Bovada | 10 of 20· last season50%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.6Not beating its price |
| 50 | Over 11.5 receiving yardsTory Horton · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | -107at DraftKings | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 52% to break even | -15.8Not beating its price |
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