This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 45% to break even | 27%–86% | 15 points betterwon 60%, needs 45% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 45% to break even | 44%–87% | 25 points betterwon 70%, needs 45% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 45% to break even | 39%–78% | 15 points betterwon 60%, needs 45% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 45% to break even | 22%–78% | 5 points betterwon 50%, needs 45% |
| Last season | 12 of 2060%needs 45% to break even | 42%–76% | 15 points betterwon 60%, needs 45% |
| Every game | 15 of 2658%needs 45% to break even | 42%–72% | 13 points betterwon 58%, needs 45% |
Tonight SEA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against KC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1Q margin in each game against sea 1q -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA +0.5 3rd quarter spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET |
| 3 |
| +2.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | -7 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 7 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Feb 8 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 7 | +6.5 | Won |
| Jan 17 | 17 | +16.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | 7 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 28 | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 18 | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | -11 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | 21 | +20.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | 7 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 20 | 14 | +13.5 | Won |
| Oct 12 | -6 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 25 | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | 21 | +20.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | -7 | -7.5 | Lost |
| 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 67% to break even |
| 3.9Good |
| Over 24.5 team totalSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 42% to break even | 3.3Good |
| SEA -2.5 2nd half spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 48% to break even | 1.7Slight |
| SEA -3.5 4th quarter spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 36% to break even | -2.0Not beating its price |
| SEA -1.5 4th quarter spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 45% to break even | -4.0Not beating its price |
| SEA -2.5 4th quarter spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 45% to break even | -4.0Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 2nd half totalSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 35% to break even | -4.9Not beating its price |
| SEA -6.5 spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +193at Polymarket | 12 of 20· last season60%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.0Not beating its price |
| SEA -0.5 4th quarter spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 48% to break even | -6.7Not beating its price |
| Over 21.5 team totalSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 15 of 20· last season75%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.4Not beating its price |
| SEA +2.5 spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 18 of 20· last season90%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.3Not beating its price |
| SEA -2.5 3rd quarter spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 12 of 20· last season60%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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