This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 57% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 57% to break even | 27%–86% | 3 points betterwon 60%, needs 57% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 57% to break even | 54%–93% | 23 points betterwon 80%, needs 57% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 57% to break even | 52%–87% | 16 points betterwon 73%, needs 57% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 57% to break even | 35%–88% | 9 points betterwon 67%, needs 57% |
| Last season | 10 of 2148%needs 57% to break even | 31%–65% | 10 points shortwon 48%, needs 57% |
Tonight SEA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against KC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receptions in each game against under 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receptions | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 receptionsRashid Shaheed |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsRashid Shaheed |
| Every game | 14 of 2752%needs 57% to break even | 37%–67% | 5 points shortwon 52%, needs 57% |
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 22 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 21 | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 20 | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 18 | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | 9 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost |
| +119at Kalshi |
| 11 of 21· last season52%needs 46% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -24.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +189at Kalshi |
| 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 35% to break even |
| -14.6Not beating its price |
| Over 39.5 receiving yardsRashid Shaheed · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 10 of 21· last season48%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.3Not beating its price |
| Under 25.5 receiving yardsRashid Shaheed · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -111at DraftKings | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 53% to break even | -18.5Not beating its price |
| Under 24.5 receiving yardsRashid Shaheed · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 53% to break even | -18.7Not beating its price |
| Under 26.5 receiving yardsRashid Shaheed · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -118at BetRivers | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 54% to break even | -19.8Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 receiving yardsRashid Shaheed · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 14 of 21· last season67%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.5Not beating its price |
| Over 25.5 receiving yardsRashid Shaheed · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -113at DraftKings | 14 of 21· last season67%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.7Not beating its price |
| Over 26.5 receiving yardsRashid Shaheed · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -113at BetRivers | 14 of 21· last season67%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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