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NFLGame line4th quarter spread
KC 4Q -0.5 (4th quarter spread)
Won4 of 5last 5 games · 80%
Best price+134Kalshi
Price needs42.7%wins to break even
Every game12 of 22this season and last
Trend score-10.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 43% to break even | 44%–95% | 37 points betterwon 80%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 43% to break even | 19%–65% | 3 points shortwon 40%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 43% to break even | 33%–72% | 11 points betterwon 53%, needs 43% |
| This season | 4 of 580%needs 43% to break even | 44%–95% | 37 points betterwon 80%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 8 of 1747%needs 43% to break even | 29%–66% | 4 points betterwon 47%, needs 43% |
| Every game | 12 of 2255%needs 43% to break even | 38%–71% | 12 points betterwon 55%, needs 43% |
Games like tonight
Tonight KC plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against SEA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
KC 4Q -0.5 (4th quarter spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
4Q margin in each game against kc 4q -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 4Q margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  LAC | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  LV | 6 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  MIA | 10 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  IND | -4 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 |  DEN | 7 | +6.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | LV | -2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 25 | DEN | -4 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 |  TEN | -10 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | LAC | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 |  HOU | -10 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 27 |  DAL | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | IND | 11 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | DEN | -3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 |  BUF | 8 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 27 |  WSH | 7 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 | LV | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 |  DET | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 6 |  JAX | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 |  BAL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 |  NYG | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 |  PHI | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | LAC | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Kansas City Chiefs in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.