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NFLPlayer propReceptions
Jaxon Smith-Njigba over 7.5 receptions
Won11 of 20last season · 55%
Best price+129Kalshi
Price needs43.7%wins to break even
Every game15 of 26this season and last
Trend score-10.4Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 44% to break even | 27%–86% | 16 points betterwon 60%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 44% to break even | 27%–73% | 6 points betterwon 50%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 44% to break even | 28%–67% | 3 points betterwon 47%, needs 44% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 44% to break even | 35%–88% | 23 points betterwon 67%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 11 of 2055%needs 44% to break even | 37%–72% |
Games like tonight
Tonight SEA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against KC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba over 7.5 receptions1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receptions in each game against over 7.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receptions | Beat 7.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 receptionsJaxon Smith-Njigba |
More on Jaxon Smith-Njigba in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 101.5 receiving yardsJaxon Smith-Njigba |
