This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 52% to break even | 27%–86% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 52% to break even | 35%–81% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1155%needs 52% to break even | 32%–76% | 3 points betterwon 55%, needs 52% |
| This season | 2 of 367%needs 52% to break even | 25%–92% | 15 points betterwon 67%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 4 of 850%needs 52% to break even | 25%–75% | 2 points shortwon 50%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 6 of 1155%needs 52% to break even | 32%–76% | 3 points betterwon 55%, needs 52% |
Tonight SEA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against KC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 11.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 10.5 receiving yardsTory Horton · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -105at Fanatics | 4 of 8· last season50%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 11.5 receiving yardsTory Horton · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 4 of 8· last season50%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsTory Horton · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 6 of 11· last 15 games, 4 skipped55%needs 62% to break even | -23.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 receptionsTory Horton · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 43% to break even | -15.5Not beating its price | ||
| Under 1.5 receptionsTory Horton · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -161at DraftKings | 6 of 11· last 15 games, 4 skipped55%needs 62% to break even | -23.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.