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Trends
Bets that have kept winning more often than their price says they should, strongest first. A trend ignores the opponent, and short runs can be luck.
| Last 10 games | Details | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA +0.5 3rd quarter spreadSeattle Seahawks · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details |  -199at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 67% to break even | 3.9Good | ||
| 2 | NYG +0.5 3rd quarter spreadNew York Giants · NYG @ HOU · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | +105at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 49% to break even | -0.8Not beating its price | ||
| 3 | NO +1.5 3rd quarter spreadNew Orleans Saints · PIT @ NO · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | -168at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 63% to break even | -10.1Not beating its price | ||
| 4 | TB +0.5 3rd quarter spreadTampa Bay Buccaneers · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.1Not beating its price | |
| 5 | DAL -0.5 3rd quarter spreadDallas Cowboys · DAL @ PHI · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +105at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 49% to break even | -14.4Not beating its price | ||
| 6 | CAR -0.5 3rd quarter spreadCarolina Panthers · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 48% to break even | -14.4Not beating its price | ||
| 7 | CIN -0.5 3rd quarter spreadCincinnati Bengals · CIN @ BAL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +134at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 43% to break even | -14.6Not beating its price | ||
| 8 | GB -0.5 3rd quarter spreadGreen Bay Packers · GB @ DET · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | +134at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 43% to break even | -18.2Not beating its price | ||
| 9 | IND +2.5 3rd quarter spreadIndianapolis Colts · IND @ MIN · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -142at Kalshi | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.1Not beating its price | |
| 10 | CLE +0.5 3rd quarter spreadCleveland Browns · CLE @ TEN · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | -183at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 65% to break even | -19.2Not beating its price | ||
| 11 | PHI +0.5 3rd quarter spreadPhiladelphia Eagles · DAL @ PHI · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -137at Kalshi | 14 of 18· last season78%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.8Not beating its price | |
| 12 | PIT -0.5 3rd quarter spreadPittsburgh Steelers · PIT @ NO · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | +119at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 46% to break even | -20.7Not beating its price | ||
| 13 | TEN -0.5 3rd quarter spreadTennessee Titans · CLE @ TEN · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | +134at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 43% to break even | -21.3Not beating its price | ||
| 14 | MIN -0.5 3rd quarter spreadMinnesota Vikings · IND @ MIN · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +101at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 50% to break even | -22.2Not beating its price | ||
| 15 | ARI +2.5 3rd quarter spreadArizona Cardinals · DEN @ ARI · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -148at Kalshi | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.7Not beating its price | |
| 16 | SF -1.5 3rd quarter spreadSan Francisco 49ers · SF @ ATL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +124at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 45% to break even | -23.0Not beating its price | ||
| 17 | DET -2.5 3rd quarter spreadDetroit Lions · GB @ DET · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | +129at Kalshi | 5 of 17· last season29%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.4Not beating its price | |
| 18 | BAL -0.5 3rd quarter spreadBaltimore Ravens · CIN @ BAL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +119at Kalshi | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.4Not beating its price | |
| 19 | LAR -0.5 3rd quarter spreadLos Angeles Rams · LAR @ LV · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +101at Kalshi | 9 of 20· last season45%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.1Not beating its price | |
| 20 | ATL +0.5 3rd quarter spreadAtlanta Falcons · SF @ ATL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -148at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 60% to break even | -27.8Not beating its price | ||
| 21 | HOU -3.5 3rd quarter spreadHouston Texans · NYG @ HOU · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | +129at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 44% to break even | -28.4Not beating its price | ||
| 22 | KC +0.5 3rd quarter spreadKansas City Chiefs · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -168at Kalshi | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.4Not beating its price | |
| 23 | DEN -2.5 3rd quarter spreadDenver Broncos · DEN @ ARI · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +109at Kalshi | 7 of 19· last season37%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.2Not beating its price | |
| 24 | NYJ -2.5 3rd quarter spreadNew York Jets · MIA @ NYJ · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 49% to break even | Record is this season's | -30.4Not beating its price | |
| 25 | LV +0.5 3rd quarter spreadLas Vegas Raiders · LAR @ LV · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -137at Kalshi | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 58% to break even | Record is this season's | -32.1Not beating its price | |
| 26 | MIA +2.5 3rd quarter spreadMiami Dolphins · MIA @ NYJ · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 60% to break even | -36.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Each record replays today's exact bet over that team's or player's recent games; ties don't count. The order rewards high win rates, more games and stretches that agree, and subtracts what the price expects. How trends work