This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 50% to break even | 14%–73% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 50% to break even | 7%–46% | 30 points shortwon 20%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 50% to break even | 22%–61% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 50% to break even | 12%–65% | 16 points shortwon 33%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 9 of 2045%needs 50% to break even | 28%–63% | 5 points shortwon 45%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 11 of 2642%needs 50% to break even | 28%–58% | 7 points shortwon 42%, needs 50% |
Tonight LAR plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against LV. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
3Q margin in each game against lar 3q -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 54.5 game total, LAR gamesLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET |
| -3 |
| -3.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | -16 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 10 | -7 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 | -7 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Dec 29 | 14 | +13.5 | Won |
| Dec 18 | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | 17 | +16.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | 14 | +13.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | -7 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | 7 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 | 14 | +13.5 | Won |
| Oct 2 | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | -7 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 | 7 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | 7 | +6.5 | Won |
| 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 37% to break even |
| -10.4Not beating its price |
| Over 53.5 game total, LAR gamesLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 38% to break even | -10.7Not beating its price |
| LAR +0.5 4th quarter spreadLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 17 of 20· last season85%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.9Not beating its price |
| LAR -6.5 2nd half spreadLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 10 of 20· last season50%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.6Not beating its price |
| Under 44.5 game total, LAR gamesLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 39% to break even | Record is this season's | -12.0Not beating its price |
| LAR -3.5 4th quarter spreadLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 38% to break even | -14.0Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 game total, LAR gamesLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 45% to break even | -14.2Not beating its price |
| Over 52.5 game total, LAR gamesLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 42% to break even | -14.6Not beating its price |
| Under 45.5 game total, LAR gamesLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 43% to break even | Record is this season's | -14.9Not beating its price |
| LAR -4.5 2nd half spreadLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 10 of 20· last season50%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.9Not beating its price |
| LAR -0.5 4th quarter spreadLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 51% to break even | -17.0Not beating its price |
| Under 46.5 game total, LAR gamesLos Angeles Rams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 45% to break even | Record is this season's | -17.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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